Who won the 16:40 Market Rasen on 18 July 2026?
Giovanni Change (FR) won the 16:40 Market Rasen at SP 8.00. Ridden by Jamie Hamilton. Trained by Mark Walford.
16:40 Market Rasen
Betway Boosts Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
3m · Chase · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £5,281 · Saturday, 18 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stGiovanni Change (FR)Jamie Hamilton·Mark Walford7/1·8.00SP
- 2ndYes Day (IRE)Richie McLernon·Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill·beaten 11 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdMillena Agent (GB)Charlie Maggs·Mark Walford·beaten 8 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
6m 6.13s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Giovanni Change (FR))
“settled in the pack - handy on the front group 4 out - improved to hit the front before 3 out - opened daylight before the last - finished strongly”
AI top-rated Special John (score 70.7) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way67.2/100 rating
Yes Day
6.00PricedUp Bet
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Yes Day
Yes Day is our selection, leading our own figures by seven pounds over this seven-runner field and fresh into the race after just 17 days. Giovanni Change, Special John and Redbridge Rambler all rate as the chief dangers, each capable of running to a similar level on their day. Confidence in Yes Day is high given the size of that rating advantage.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Special John
Matt Griffiths · Sam Thomas · 7yo
Top-rated of 7
score 70.7 · +3.5 clear of next best (67.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong38d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight75strongOR 112 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight74strongLast 6: 5-5-2-1-2
- Trainer20% weight50no sampleSam Thomas — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 3.35 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jamie Hamilton · T: Mark Walford · draw 0 11yo · G · g | P1335 | 107 | 54.4 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Richie McLernon · T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · draw 0 8yo · G · bb | 68P23 | 111 | 67.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Charlie Maggs(3) · T: Mark Walford · draw 0 6yo · M · bh | P2373 | 86 | 48.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Patrick Wadge · T: Brian Ellison · draw 0 6yo · G · bp | 216P0 | 88 | 48.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Freddie Keighley(5) · T: Martin Keighley · draw 0 8yo · G · bv | 34514 | 100 | 53.4 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Shane Fenelon(5) · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0 6yo · G · bb | 42311 | 103 | 59.9 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Matt Griffiths · T: Sam Thomas · draw 0 7yo · G · b | 55212 | 112 | 70.7 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:40 Market Rasen?
No — the AI top pick (Special John) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:40 Market Rasen?
Top finishers: 1. Giovanni Change (FR) (8.00), 2. Yes Day (IRE) (5.00), 3. Millena Agent (GB) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:40 Market Rasen?
The winning time was 6m 6.13s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org