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RacingAlpha

17:45 Curragh

Ireland

WTW Willis Handicap

5f · Flat · Good To Firm · 18 runners · €15,000 · Saturday, 18 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Mary Shoelaces (IRE)
    Jessica O'Gorman·Eddie & Patrick Harty
    22/1·23.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Harry's Hill (GB)
    Colin Keane·Martin Hassett·beaten .5 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Namiid (IRE)
    Jessica Maye·J P Murtagh·beaten 0.3 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
58.55s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Mary Shoelaces (IRE))

handy from the break and soon sharing the lead - went on and asked for an effort - a length clear 1f out and driven out to score

AI top-rated Lamar Canyon (score 61.8) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 33.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way56.3/100 rating
Namiid
13.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Real Encounter

Real Encounter is our selection over today's five furlongs, narrowly ahead of Namiid at the top of this field on our figures. She arrives in good order, with a win and three places from her last five starts, and has run over today's trip and going before. Her yard's recent quiet spell is a mild concern, but her own form has held up well throughout. Namiid, Apache Outlaw and Daneh Of Dandy are the chief dangers on their own solid recent efforts, though Real Encounter's placed-heavy record and rating edge should make her hard to oppose.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lamar Canyon

Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T Browne · 3yo

Top-rated of 18
score 61.8 · +5.5 clear of next best (56.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=1)
    T Browne: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    33weak
    Last 6: 0-0-7-1-8
MarketBest price 50.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 15th in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.03
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.84
High (13–18)
IV 1.12

Today: Lamar Canyon (draw 18) and Happy Henry (draw 13) get the bias; Daneh Of Dandy (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
112
5yo · M · brb
91067
6646.8
22/1·23.00
SP
210
J: Colin Keane · T: Martin Hassett · draw 4
8yo · G · bt
670606
6741.7
11/1·12.00
SP
31
J: Jessica Maye(7) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 1
3yo · G · bp
43142
8456.3
9/1·10.00
SP
411
6yo · G · b
236414
6743.8
22/1·23.00
SP
59
J: Leigh Roche · T: W McCreery · draw 13
5yo · G · bp
233131
6751.3
10/1·11.00
SP
64
J: Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T: T Browne · draw 18
3yo · G · b
00718
8061.8
33/1·34.00
SP
77
J: Gavin Ryan · T: J A Stack · draw 6
3yo · F · b
372071
7654.9
20/1·21.00
SP
86
3yo · G · b
04691
7851.5
9/1·10.00
SP
918
8yo · G · btb
40295
6036.0
12/1·13.00
SP
1016
J: Diego Lima · T: Diego Dias · draw 2
3yo · F · bb
40346
6735.6
66/1·67.00
SP
118
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 15
6yo · G · chp
806435
7141.6
13/2·7.50
SP
123
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 8
3yo · F · bpFT P
21623
8149.7
5/1F·6.00
SP
132
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 11
3yo · F · b
58505
8153.9
7/1·8.00
SP
1413
J: Nathan Crosse · T: A Oliver · draw 9
3yo · F · bt
0U036
6838.7
33/1·34.00
SP
1515
J: Alan Persse(5) · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 3
6yo · G · b
24000
6335.2
50/1·51.00
SP
165
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 17
3yo · F · b
22129
7945.0
8/1·9.00
SP
1717
J: Wayne Lordan · T: Anthony Mullins · draw 12
3yo · G · b
07727
6444.5
16/1·17.00
SP
1814
J: Chris Hayes · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 14
5yo · M · bp
84007
6335.3
10/1·11.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:45 Curragh on 18 July 2026?

Mary Shoelaces (IRE) won the 17:45 Curragh at SP 23.00. Ridden by Jessica O'Gorman. Trained by Eddie & Patrick Harty.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Lamar Canyon) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 17:45 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Mary Shoelaces (IRE) (23.00), 2. Harry's Hill (GB) (12.00), 3. Namiid (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:45 Curragh?

The winning time was 58.55s.

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