Who won the 16:47 Cartmel on 20 July 2026?
Aill Dubh (IRE) won the 16:47 Cartmel at SP 5.00. Ridden by Joshua Thompson. Trained by Micky Hammond.
16:47 Cartmel
Old Park Wood Handicap Steeple Chase
2m5f · Chase · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £3,829 · Monday, 20 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stAill Dubh (IRE)Joshua Thompson·Micky Hammond4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndBlazing Court (IRE)Mr John Dixon·John Dixon·beaten 0.3 lengths40/1·41.00SP
- 3rdJack Sprat (IRE)Brian Hughes·James Moffatt·beaten 1.25 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
5m 22.15s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Aill Dubh (IRE))
“led from the outset - driven out after the last - stayed on to prevail narrowly”
AI top-rated El Muchacho (score 63.9) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way63.8/100 rating
Jack Sprat
5.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Jack Sprat
Jack Sprat heads this competitive ten-runner Class 5 over 21f at Cartmel on a rating of 100, though it is a tight contest with little between the principals. El Muchacho, only two pounds behind on 98, is the most obvious danger, while Imperial Rule (91) and Blazing Court (88) both have claims of their own. With confidence only medium given how close these figures run, Jack Sprat remains the selection, but this looks a race where the form book could easily be turned upside down.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
El Muchacho
William Maggs(3) · Mike Sowersby · 9yo
Top-rated of 9
score 63.9 · +0.1 clear of next best (63.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong53d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 3-2-3-2-3
- Ratings50% weight64averageOR 96 — above field median
- Trainer20% weight50small sample (n=5)Mike Sowersby: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 20.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 7th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: Joshua Thompson(5) · T: Micky Hammond · draw 0 9yo · G · bp | P3144 | 75 | 51.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Mr John Dixon(7) · T: John Dixon · draw 0 8yo · G · bp | 5UUP7 | 78 | 34.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Brian Hughes · T: James Moffatt · draw 0 8yo · G · bp | 47492 | 99 | 63.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Benjamin Macey(5) · T: Jeff Mullins · draw 0 5yo · M · b | 43512 | 78 | 49.9 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Leah Noreci(7) · T: James Moffatt · draw 0 8yo · G · chp | P67P2 | 79 | 52.2 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: James Best · T: Michael Chapman · draw 0 9yo · G · ch | 6FP86 | 64 | 32.0 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Charlie Maggs(3) · T: Dianne Sayer · draw 0 9yo · G · b | 2635P | 86 | 49.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Sean Quinlan · T: Lizzie Quinlan · draw 0 9yo · G · btpFT TP | 36515 | 100 | 53.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: William Maggs(3) · T: Mike Sowersby · draw 0 9yo · G · grt | 32323 | 96 | 63.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Ryan Mania · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 0 8yo · G · b | F3113 | 82 | 49.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:47 Cartmel?
No — the AI top pick (El Muchacho) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 16:47 Cartmel?
Top finishers: 1. Aill Dubh (IRE) (5.00), 2. Blazing Court (IRE) (41.00), 3. Jack Sprat (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:47 Cartmel?
The winning time was 5m 22.15s.
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