Who won the 15:00 Ayr on 20 July 2026?
Imperial Guard (IRE) won the 15:00 Ayr at SP 1.53. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by Michael Dods.
15:00 Ayr
25% Off Lunch At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 20 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stImperial Guard (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·Michael Dods8/15F·1.53SP
- 2ndSupreme Dancer (IRE)Warren Fentiman·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 3.5 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdYaaser (IRE)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.5 lengths8/1·9.00SP
Race time
1m 28.26s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Imperial Guard (IRE))
“going well settled in the pack - made rapid progress 2f out - went to the front entering the final furlong - clear and untroubled to the line”
AI top-rated Ramon Di Loria (score 46.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Imperial Guard
Imperial Guard heads our figures on 69, just a pound ahead of Yaaser in second, and the form that saw him win last time out makes him our selection with medium confidence. Yaaser, Supreme Dancer and Ramon Di Loria are the obvious dangers, each with claims of their own on recent form. Soul Warrior, also on 62, and Lanarra make up the rest of a competitive field. Imperial Guard is the one to beat.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Ramon Di Loria
Greg Fairley · Ewan Whillans · 8yo
Top-rated of 6
score 46.3 · +1.6 clear of next best (44.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong7d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight58averageLast 6: 6-3-6-3-3-2
- Trainer20% weight48below averageEwan Whillans: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 55
MarketBest price 6.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.06
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.92
High (5–6)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 68851 | 60 | 42.7 | 8/15F·1.53 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 3yo · G · ch | 55728 | 57 | 38.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2 8yo · G · bpFT P | 997595 | 59 | 34.4 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Sam James · T: R Mike Smith · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 76123 | 49 | 44.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 81803 | 59 | 42.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 4 8yo · G · ch | 636332 | 55 | 46.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Ramon Di Loria) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 15:00 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Imperial Guard (IRE) (1.53), 2. Supreme Dancer (IRE) (17.00), 3. Yaaser (IRE) (9.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:00 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 28.26s.
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