17:00 Ayr

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5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 20 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th

1st
Sea Her Excel (GB)
Elle-May Croot·Ivan Furtado
7/2·4.50
SP
2nd
Golden Havana (IRE)
Sean Kirrane·Michael Dods·beaten .5 lengths
100/30·4.33
SP
3rd
Under The Radar (IRE)
Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.25 lengths
2/1F·3.00
SP

Race time

58.27s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Sea Her Excel (GB))

“up with pace early - went to front after 1f - pushed along 2f out - edge shrank late but stayed in front”

AI top-rated Brash (score 49.4) finished 4th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way49.4/100 rating

Brash

5.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Sea Her Excel

Under The Radar sits on top of our figures on 74, just a couple of pounds ahead of Sea Her Excel on 72, but we prefer the concession on a more progressive profile and a sharper fitness edge. Golden Havana and Brash, rated 67 apiece, both have solid recent form and can't be dismissed. Bella Delizia and Brain Freeze make up the second tier. Sea Her Excel is our selection with medium confidence, in what looks a competitive sprint.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Brash

William Pyle · David & Nicola Barron · 3yo

Top-rated of 6

score 49.4 · +0.9 clear of next best (48.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
54average
Last 6: 7-7-3-2
Ratings50% weight
43below average
OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
35small sample (n=7)
David & Nicola Barron: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 5.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.24

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.98

High (6–7)

IV 0.75

Today: Golden Havana (draw 2) and Under The Radar (draw 3) get the bias; Brash (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Sea Her Excel J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 4 3yo · F · b	30315	9-08	64	—	—	47.4	7/2·4.50 SP
2	2	Golden Havana J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 3yo · G · bv	74332	9-08	64	—	—	48.5	100/30·4.33 SP
3	4	Under The Radar J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 3yo · G · br	56693	9-07	63	—	—	40.5	2/1F·3.00 SP
4	1	Brash J: William Pyle · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 6 3yo · G · ch	7732	9-09	65	—	—	49.4	4/1·5.00 SP
5	7	Brain Freeze J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Michael Dods · draw 7 3yo · F · bb	05136	8-11	53	—	—	43.5	14/1·15.00 SP
6	6	Sands Of Seve J: Clifford Lee · T: Gary Harrison · draw 1 3yo · G · chv	316492	8-12	54	—	—	37.5	9/1·10.00 SP
—	—	Bella Delizia J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 5 3yo · F · b	41068	9-04	60	—	—	40.5	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:00 Ayr on 20 July 2026?

Sea Her Excel (GB) won the 17:00 Ayr at SP 4.50. Ridden by Elle-May Croot. Trained by Ivan Furtado.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Brash) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 17:00 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Sea Her Excel (GB) (4.50), 2. Golden Havana (IRE) (4.33), 3. Under The Radar (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:00 Ayr?

The winning time was 58.27s.

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