17:40 Ballinrobe

Ireland

Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden

1m1½f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 9 runners · €7,200 · Monday, 20 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Guinelot (FR)
Donagh O'Connor·K J Condon
9/2·5.50
SP
2nd
Taj Crown (IRE)AI top pick · 43.5
W J Lee·K J Condon·beaten 0.2 lengths
2/1·3.00
SP
3rd
Contrite (GB)
Colin Keane·D K Weld·beaten 5 lengths
11/8F·2.38
SP

Race time

2m 5.72s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Guinelot (FR))

“raced up with the pace in 2nd - went to the front approaching 2f out - soon driven - bumped as another drew level approaching 1f out - kept finding more to regain the advantage - drifted left close home”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Taj Crown

W J Lee · K J Condon · 4yo

Top-rated of 9

score 43.5 · +2.3 clear of next best (41.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
6d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
46below average
Last 6: 5-2-8-6-2
Trainer20% weight
20weak
K J Condon: 1/12 winners last 14d (8%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ballinrobe 1m1½f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.91

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.45

High (9–11)

IV 1.58

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 38 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	11	Guinelot J: Donagh O'Connor · T: K J Condon · draw 5 3yo · F · bh	54	9-03	—	—	—	19.0	9/2·5.50 SP
2	3	Taj Crown J: W J Lee · T: K J Condon · draw 8 4yo · F · chtv	52862	9-12	70	—	—	43.5	2/1·3.00 SP
3	10	Contrite J: Colin Keane · T: D K Weld · draw 7 3yo · F · brtFT T	49	9-03	—	—	—	21.8	11/8F·2.38 SP
4	6	Noble Venture J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 11 3yo · G · ch	70	9-08	—	—	—	11.0	50/1·51.00 SP
5	5	Countertop J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 4 3yo · G · ch	07000	9-08	—	—	—	15.4	200/1·201.00 SP
6	8	Stabannon J: Robbie Colgan · T: Donal Kinsella · draw 1 3yo · G · g	00	9-08	—	—	—	8.5	125/1·126.00 SP
7	1	Half Cut J: Luke McAteer · T: Anthony Mullins · draw 9 5yo · G · b	09	10-03	—	—	—	20.3	66/1·67.00 SP
8	7	Shay's Dream J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3 3yo · G · ch	000	9-08	—	—	—	23.5	9/1·10.00 SP
9	2	Tyraxes J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 2 4yo · G · btp	203045	10-03	70	—	—	41.1	7/1·8.00 SP
—	—	Avec Grand Plaisir J: Ronan Whelan · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 10 3yo · G · b	0753	9-08	65	—	—	37.4	—
—	—	Churchfield Lady J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 6 3yo · F · b	78	9-03	—	—	—	10.8	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:40 Ballinrobe on 20 July 2026?

Guinelot (FR) won the 17:40 Ballinrobe at SP 5.50. Ridden by Donagh O'Connor. Trained by K J Condon.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:40 Ballinrobe?

No — the AI top pick (Taj Crown) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 17:40 Ballinrobe?

Top finishers: 1. Guinelot (FR) (5.50), 2. Taj Crown (IRE) (3.00), 3. Contrite (GB) (2.38).

What was the winning time for the 17:40 Ballinrobe?

The winning time was 2m 5.72s.

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