Who won the 16:15 Nottingham on 21 July 2026?
Takeitorleaveit (IRE) won the 16:15 Nottingham at SP 2.88. Ridden by Rob Hornby. Trained by Jonathan Portman.
16:15 Nottingham
Dine In Sherwoods Restaurant Handicap Stakes
1m1f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 21 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 15/8F·2.88Race report
- 1stTakeitorleaveit (IRE)AI top pick · 43.9Rob Hornby·Jonathan Portman15/8F·2.88SP
- 2ndKatalyst (GB)Ryan Kavanagh·William Muir & Chris Grassick·beaten 0.1 lengths22/1·23.00SP
- 3rdBeauty Generation (IRE)Jack Mitchell·Ross Burdon·beaten .5 lengths9/4·3.25SP
Race time
1m 54.35s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Takeitorleaveit (IRE))
“handy in the early stages - ridden over 2f out - ran on well in the final furlong - went to the front inside the final 110 yards and held on narrowly at the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Sahm Naif
Sahm Naif is preferred on a progressive profile, with back-to-back wins in his last two starts putting him right at home in this company even though Beauty Generation edges him by a pound on our figures. Beauty Generation, The Bureau Club and Takeitorleaveit are the three most obvious dangers in a tightly-bunched race, all within a few pounds of the selection. It's a moderate-confidence verdict in an open renewal, but the upward trajectory nudges it toward Sahm Naif.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Takeitorleaveit
Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 43.9 · +2.6 clear of next best (41.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight71strongLast 6: 1-7-2-2-2
- Freshness10% weight70strong12d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 59
- Trainer20% weight15weakJonathan Portman: 1/16 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m1f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.99
High (5–6)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 5 3yo · G · bp | 17222 | 59 | 43.9 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 2 3yo · F · bb | 56400 | 60 | 34.7 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Ross Burdon · draw 6 5yo · G · bp | 753451 | 58 | 40.6 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Charlie Pike · draw 1 3yo · F · bh | 44677 | 60 | 32.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: George Wood · T: James Horton · draw 3 3yo · G · bpFT P | 87411 | 60 | 41.3 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 4 3yo · G · bh | 904660 | 60 | 39.6 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Nottingham?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Takeitorleaveit, won the race (AI score 43.9).
What were the placings in the 16:15 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Takeitorleaveit (IRE) (2.88), 2. Katalyst (GB) (23.00), 3. Beauty Generation (IRE) (3.25).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 54.35s.
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