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RacingAlpha

16:58 Leopardstown

Ireland

Frank Conroy Irish EBF Maiden

1m · Flat · Good · 5 runners · €13,200 · Thursday, 23 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/1·6.00
  1. 1st
    Green Dreamer (IRE)AI top pick · 29.0
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Shakespeare (GB)
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten 2 lengths
    4/9F·1.44
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Darkness Falls (IRE)
    Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien·beaten 2.5 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
1m 42.53s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Green Dreamer (IRE))

“slow to begin - soon moved to the front and set every stride - sent forward entering the straight - driven with 2f to run and holding a two-length advantage 1f out then found plenty”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Green Dreamer

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 29.0 · +2.5 clear of next best (26.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    80very strong
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 19/59 winners last 14d (32%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    10d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    30weak
    Last 6: 5
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.16
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.88
High (6–7)
IV 0.94

Today: Highest Order (draw 3) and Shakespeare (draw 1) get the bias; Green Dreamer (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
2yo · C · b
5
—29.0
5/1·6.00
SP
26
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
3
—26.5
4/9F·1.44
SP
32
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6
2yo · C · b
——19.5
17/2·9.50
SP
44
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 3
2yo · C · b
——26.5
6/1·7.00
SP
57
J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 2
2yo · G · b
——20.0
250/1·251.00
SP
——
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 7
2yo · C · b
——15.0—
——
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 4
2yo · C · b
——25.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:58 Leopardstown on 23 July 2026?

Green Dreamer (IRE) won the 16:58 Leopardstown at SP 6.00. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:58 Leopardstown?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Green Dreamer, won the race (AI score 29.0).

What were the placings in the 16:58 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. Green Dreamer (IRE) (6.00), 2. Shakespeare (GB) (1.44), 3. Darkness Falls (IRE) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:58 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 1m 42.53s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org