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16:48 Doncaster

Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £3,768 · Thursday, 23 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Theme Park (GB)
    Faye McManoman·Nigel Tinkler
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Chilly Breeze (GB)
    Ryan Kavanagh·Ian Williams·beaten 1.25 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Boubyan (IRE)
    Joanna Mason·Michael Appleby·beaten 0.3 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
1m 39.64s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Theme Park (GB))

“settled towards the back - made ground on the front-runners over 2f out - short of room over 1f out - found room and stayed on strongly to hit the front inside final 110yds - scored comfortably”

AI top-rated We've Got This (score 50.7) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Theme Park

Theme Park is our selection, leading the way on a rating of 75 against 67 for the next three in the field. That gap of 8 lb puts him ahead of Boubyan, Palmarian and We've Got This, who form a tight group just behind and represent the main dangers. Mariner, Whiskey Pete, Chilly Breeze and Albeyours complete the eight but rate further back on our figures. Confidence in the selection is low, with three rivals close enough on paper to go well themselves.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

We've Got This

Andrew Mullen · Ivan Furtado · 4yo

Top-rated of 8
score 50.7 · +3.7 clear of next best (47.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    Ivan Furtado: 5/20 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 62
  • Form20% weight
    38below average
    Last 6: 2-6-5-7-3
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.10
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.92
High (7–8)
IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Theme Park
J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 5
6yo · G · btFT T
96905
6536.0
13/2·7.50
SP
21
Chilly Breeze
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Ian Williams · draw 2
4yo · G · ch
68976
6538.6
7/1·8.00
SP
33
Boubyan
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael Appleby · draw 1
4yo · G · bp
590254
6438.7
13/2·7.50
SP
44
Mariner
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 6
5yo · G · btp
872893
6243.9
13/2·7.50
SP
55
We've Got This
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 3
4yo · F · b
26573
6250.7
100/30·4.33
SP
67
Whiskey Pete
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 4
5yo · G · chtFT T
60009
5831.5
50/1·51.00
SP
78
Albeyours
J: David Egan · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 7
5yo · M · chp
12531
5340.6
7/1·8.00
SP
86
Palmarian
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 8
4yo · G · bh
589512
6047.0
11/4F·3.75
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:48 Doncaster on 23 July 2026?

Theme Park (GB) won the 16:48 Doncaster at SP 7.50. Ridden by Faye McManoman. Trained by Nigel Tinkler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:48 Doncaster?

No — the AI top pick (We've Got This) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 16:48 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Theme Park (GB) (7.50), 2. Chilly Breeze (GB) (8.00), 3. Boubyan (IRE) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:48 Doncaster?

The winning time was 1m 39.64s.

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