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5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runners · £3,664 · Thursday, 23 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Havin A Flyer (GB)
    Tom Kiely-Marshall·Rebecca Menzies
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    My Mate Mackley (GB)
    Pat Cosgrave·Adam Kirby·beaten 1.25 lengths
    9/4J·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Golden Harvest (GB)
    Dougie Costello·Steph Hollinshead·beaten 1.75 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
58.53s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Havin A Flyer (GB))

Went straight to the front from the break - pushed along approaching the final furlong - drew away for an untroubled success

AI top-rated Sparkling Wine (score 43.9) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way38.2/100 rating
Agric Ranger
6.00Betfred
Place portion settles at 2.25 · 1/4 odds · 2 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Havin A Flyer

Havin A Flyer is our selection in this Class 6 finale over five furlongs, preferred to the top-rated Agric Ranger on a progressive profile and a fitness edge. She sits only narrowly behind him on our figures, with Henriette Ronner and Sparkling Wine both also live dangers. Selection confidence is low in a competitive seven-runner field, but the case still favours Havin A Flyer overall.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sparkling Wine

William Pyle · Michael Dods · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 43.9 · +5.3 clear of next best (38.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    Michael Dods: 5/23 winners last 14d (22%)
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 4-7-2-5-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    30weak
    OR 45
MarketBest price 3.75 (Spreadex) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.09
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.96
High (6–7)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
3yo · F · bt
84332
4637.5
5/1·6.00
SP
24
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Adam Kirby · draw 6
3yo · G · bp
68132
4738.6
9/4J·3.25
SP
31
3yo · G · b
095
5531.7
9/1·10.00
SP
46
J: William Pyle · T: Michael Dods · draw 5
3yo · F · b
47252
4543.9
9/4J·3.25
SP
52
3yo · F · btvFT TV
495098
5530.6
12/1·13.00
SP
67
J: Cam Hardie · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 3
3yo · G · bvFT V
97600
4524.8
25/1·26.00
SP
73
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2
3yo · G · b
5475
5438.2
11/2·6.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:56 Southwell (AW) on 23 July 2026?

Havin A Flyer (GB) won the 20:56 Southwell (AW) at SP 6.00. Ridden by Tom Kiely-Marshall. Trained by Rebecca Menzies.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:56 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Sparkling Wine) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 20:56 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Havin A Flyer (GB) (6.00), 2. My Mate Mackley (GB) (3.25), 3. Golden Harvest (GB) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:56 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 58.53s.

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