Who won the 18:49 Yarmouth on 23 July 2026?
Rogue Allegiance (IRE) won the 18:49 Yarmouth at SP 3.00. Ridden by Harry Davies. Trained by James Owen.
18:49 Yarmouth
Get Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £4,397 · Thursday, 23 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 2/1J·3.00Race report
- 1stRogue Allegiance (IRE)AI top pick · 65.4Harry Davies·James Owen2/1J·3.00SP
- 2ndNorth View (GB)Chloe Lyons·Stuart Williams·beaten .5 lengths10/1·11.00SP
- 3rdCampani (GB)Marco Ghiani·David Simcock·beaten 2.75 lengths2/1J·3.00SP
Race time
1m 24.54s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Rogue Allegiance (IRE))
“raced with a strong pull early - raced close to the front group - was pushed along over 2f out and moved through to challenge the new front-runner - stayed on strongly to go in front towards the finish”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Mercury Day
Mercury Day is our selection, preferred on a progressive profile even though North View is rated a pound better on raw figures. That gap is minimal, and the case for Mercury Day rests on the shape of her recent form rather than outright figures. North View, Berry Clever and Rogue Allegiance are the chief dangers, all with solid recent form of their own. Confidence in this selection is moderate given how tight the group is at the top.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Rogue Allegiance
Harry Davies · James Owen · 4yo
Top-rated of 6
score 65.4 · +15.8 clear of next best (49.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight85very strongJames Owen: 13/38 winners last 14d (34%)
- Form20% weight71strongLast 6: 6-2-3-2-2
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 73
MarketBest price 2.94 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Yarmouth 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.08
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.02
High (5–6)
IV 0.89
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 62322 | 73 | 65.4 | 2/1J·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Chloe Lyons(7) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 5 5yo · G · bvFT V | 740760 | 72 | 42.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: David Simcock · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 77131 | 59 | 44.1 | 2/1J·3.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 321454 | 73 | 45.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 79150 | 74 | 49.6 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Jack Gilligan · T: Conrad Allen · draw 3 5yo · M · bbFT B | 53786 | 74 | 39.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:49 Yarmouth?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Rogue Allegiance, won the race (AI score 65.4).
What were the placings in the 18:49 Yarmouth?
Top finishers: 1. Rogue Allegiance (IRE) (3.00), 2. North View (GB) (11.00), 3. Campani (GB) (3.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:49 Yarmouth?
The winning time was 1m 24.54s.
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