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14:25 York

Feature

Weatherbys Lonsdale Cup Stakes (Group 2)

2m½f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £141,775 · Friday, 21 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Al Nayyir (GB)
    William Buick·Tom Clover
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Illinois (IRE)
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten 1 length
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mount Atlas (GB)
    P J McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 2.25 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
3m 35.52s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Al Nayyir (GB))

“Held up eager in the pack towards the back - urged into contention with 5f left - boxed in with 4f to run - eased right for space with 3f out - found a gap left and closed on the front-runner inside the final furlong - hit the front close home and kept going to win”

AI top-rated Columbus (score 70.5) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Quickthorn

Quickthorn heads this York staying contest on a rating five pounds clear of the chasing pack, on figures that make him the pick over this sort of distance on good-to-soft ground, and there is every reason to expect our selection to translate that superiority into victory here. Illinois, Al Nayyir and Amiloc all arrive on the same figure and will fight out the secondary positions, though none has the edge over our selection that would be required to reverse the assessments. Quickthorn is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Columbus

Colin Keane · W P Mullins · 5yo

Top-rated of 8
score 70.5 · +0.5 clear of next best (70.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    W P Mullins: 10/25 winners last 14d (40%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    71strong
    OR 107
  • Form20% weight
    24weak
    Last 6: 4-5-3-6-0
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 2m½f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.16
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.57
High (7–9)
IV 1.21

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: William Buick · T: Tom Clover · draw 5
8yo · G · bp
31327
11361.2
9/1·10.00
SP
27
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4
5yo · C · b
36155
10865.9
13/2·7.50
SP
38
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8
5yo · G · b
42231
11270.0
4/1·5.00
SP
41
J: Oisin Murphy · T: George Scott · draw 1
5yo · G · bp
72210
11564.6
7/4F·2.75
SP
59
J: Tom Marquand · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 2
9yo · G · b
65461
10857.6
40/1·41.00
SP
66
J: James Doyle · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 7
5yo · G · bb
03524
10867.5
25/1·26.00
SP
73
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6
4yo · G · b
2466U
11562.4
100/30·4.33
SP
85
J: Colin Keane · T: W P Mullins · draw 3
5yo · G · bay f.
45360
10770.5
12/1·13.00
SP
——
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 9
4yo · C · btvFT TV
25516
11253.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:25 York on 21 August 2026?

Al Nayyir (GB) won the 14:25 York at SP 10.00. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Tom Clover.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:25 York?

No — the AI top pick (Columbus) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 14:25 York?

Top finishers: 1. Al Nayyir (GB) (10.00), 2. Illinois (IRE) (7.50), 3. Mount Atlas (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:25 York?

The winning time was 3m 35.52s.

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