What time is the Alpha Centauri Debutante Stakes (Group 2)?
The Alpha Centauri Debutante Stakes (Group 2) is off at 14:50 on 22 August 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).
Alpha Centauri Debutante Stakes (Group 2)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 5 runners · €78,000 · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Best value vs consensus
12·12.00 Matchbook · +10% vs fair (consensus 10.96)
One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Green EmpressDiffers from our pick
Green Empress heads this five-runner Curragh contest narrowly ahead of Alpha and Ibelieveicanfly on a rating of 94, though the gap to that duo is modest enough to keep confidence measured, and any one of Alpha, Ibelieveicanfly or Dancing Destiny could make a race of it on the day. Green Empress is the pick, but punters should be aware this is far from a foregone conclusion. Green Empress is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Alpha
Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien · 2yo
Top-rated of 5
score 72.8 · +7.8 clear of next best (64.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight96very strongLast 6: 2-1-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong30d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight68strongOR 102 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight55averageA P O'Brien: 10/46 winners last 14d (22%)
MarketBest price 1.95 (Matchbook) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.
- Front-runners(1)
- Prominent(3)
- Mid-division(0)—
- Hold-up / closers(1)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Draw bias — Curragh 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.96
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.99
High (5–5)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by AI score
Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 15% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 14:50 Curragh?
7f, Class 1, Flat, 5 runners declared.
What is the going for the 14:50 Curragh?
Going is reported as Good on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:50 Curragh?
The AI top-rated runner is Alpha (score 72.8, best price 1.95). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 14:50 Curragh?
The market favourite is Alpha at a best price of 1.95.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org