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RacingAlpha

15:40 Haydock

Feature

Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Soft · 8 runners · £226,840 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 9/4F·3.25
  1. 1st
    Almeraq (GB)AI top pick · 68.7
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Paborus (GB)
    Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell·beaten 4.25 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Big Mojo (IRE)
    William Buick·Michael Appleby·beaten 4.75 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
1m 15.00s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Almeraq (GB))

Settled at the back early - moved across towards the inside from 2f out - drifted right when asked for effort a furlong out - hit the front inside the last furlong - shot away quickly - stayed on well to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way65.9/100 rating
Paborus
8.50LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 2.50 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Kind Of Blue

Kind Of Blue heads this competitive six-furlong Class 1 at Haydock on heavy ground narrowly ahead of a trio of dangers rated level with one another, and that slim edge at the top of the ratings may prove meaningful if he handles the testing conditions well. Big Mojo, Marvelman and Almeraq are all capable of making this tight, and the ground could play into any of their hands depending on how the race unfolds. The confidence here is modest given how closely matched this field is, but Kind Of Blue's position at the head of the ratings gives him a fractional claim over his rivals. Kind Of Blue is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Almeraq

Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 68.7 · +2.9 clear of next best (65.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    56d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    79strong
    OR 119 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 1-F-1-1-9
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    William Haggas: 9/48 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 3.50 (Boyle Sports) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Haydock 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.22
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.71
High (7–9)
IV 1.02

Today: Coppull (draw 2) and American Affair (draw 1) get the bias; Almeraq (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 114 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 4
4yo · C · b
1F119
11968.7
9/4F·3.25
SP
28
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 8
5yo · G · b
1318
11365.9
5/1·6.00
SP
34
J: William Buick · T: Michael Appleby · draw 7
4yo · C · b
07801
11361.1
9/1·10.00
SP
45
J: Clifford Lee · T: Clive Cox · draw 3
5yo · G · b
00633
10656.8
28/1·29.00
SP
56
J: James Doyle · T: James Fanshawe · draw 6
5yo · C · b
32020
11261.9
4/1·5.00
SP
63
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9
5yo · H · b
12505
10853.6
33/1·34.00
SP
79
J: Hector Crouch · T: Clive Cox · draw 2
3yo · C · b
31841
11564.8
7/1·8.00
SP
87
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
4yo · C · b
09263
11764.8
5/1·6.00
SP
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1
6yo · G · b
020610
11259.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:40 Haydock on 5 September 2026?

Almeraq (GB) won the 15:40 Haydock at SP 3.25. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Haydock?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Almeraq, won the race (AI score 68.7).

What were the placings in the 15:40 Haydock?

Top finishers: 1. Almeraq (GB) (3.25), 2. Paborus (GB) (6.00), 3. Big Mojo (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:40 Haydock?

The winning time was 1m 15.00s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org