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20:30 Lingfield

Smith & Western Showdown Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 25 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Diomed Duke (GB)
    Olivia Haines·Stuart Williams
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    The Thames Boatman (GB)AI top pick · 53.0
    Finley Marsh·Richard Hughes·beaten 1.75 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sandscreendeliverd (GB)
    Tom Queally·Peter Crate·beaten .5 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
57.05s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Diomed Duke (GB))

“up with the pace out wide - went to the front two furlongs out under a drive - stayed on strongly to assert late”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Diomed Duke

The Thames Boatman heads our figures on 80 for this five-furlong Class 5 at Lingfield, but we prefer Diomed Duke, rated 78, on a more progressive profile. Ziggy's Missile and Our Planet also feature among the dangers, on 77 and 75 respectively, while Lazzar, Sandscreendeliverd and Miracleoftheandes make up a competitive seven-runner field. Diomed Duke's figure sits only narrowly behind the head-rated runner, and with confidence only low this looks a tight renewal, but he is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

The Thames Boatman

Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes · 6yo

Top-rated of 7
score 53.0 · +1.4 clear of next best (51.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 9-2-1-4-5-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    Richard Hughes: 3/26 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield 5f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.83
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.21
High (6–7)
IV 1.00

Today: Miracleoftheandes (draw 5) and Sandscreendeliverd (draw 4) get the bias; The Thames Boatman (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
4yo · G · bt
73552
7149.0
11/8F·2.38
SP
21
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 3
6yo · G · bp
921452
7553.0
5/1·6.00
SP
36
J: Tom Queally · T: Peter Crate · draw 4
4yo · G · b
422593
7042.3
3/1·4.00
SP
43
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Charlie Wallis · draw 2
4yo · G · b
306942
7151.6
16/1·17.00
SP
57
J: Thomas Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 5
3yo · F · b
842
6542.8
18/1·19.00
SP
62
J: Joe Leavy · T: Michael Keady · draw 7
4yo · G · bht
16470
7333.3
13/2·7.50
SP
75
5yo · G · bp
55459
7038.3
16/1·17.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:30 Lingfield on 25 July 2026?

Diomed Duke (GB) won the 20:30 Lingfield at SP 2.38. Ridden by Olivia Haines. Trained by Stuart Williams.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Lingfield?

No — the AI top pick (The Thames Boatman) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 20:30 Lingfield?

Top finishers: 1. Diomed Duke (GB) (2.38), 2. The Thames Boatman (GB) (6.00), 3. Sandscreendeliverd (GB) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:30 Lingfield?

The winning time was 57.05s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org