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15:22 Gowran Park

Ireland

John Fleming Irish EBF Marble City Stakes (Listed)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 7 runners · €30,000 · Saturday, 25 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/1·6.00
  1. 1st
    Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA)AI top pick · 70.1
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Vauntingly (IRE)
    J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 0.1 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Believed (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J P Murtagh·beaten .5 lengths
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
Race time
2m 33.63s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA))

“In front from the start - given a squeeze and opened a gap 2f out - soon asked for effort - challenged hard inside the final furlong - found more to hold on near the line despite being fully extended”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Amadeus Mozart

Amadeus Mozart is our selection, heading our ratings in this event by the smallest of margins. Nil Bua Gan Dua and Shosholoza are rated just a pound behind and loom as the biggest dangers, with Saga Gaga also among the chief threats but further back again on figures. Confidence is low given how tightly matched the leading trio are, but Amadeus Mozart gets our vote on pure form.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Nil Bua Gan Dua

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 70.1 · +1.7 clear of next best (68.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    80very strong
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 19/59 winners last 14d (32%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    65strong
    OR 98
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 5-3-1-4-4
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Gowran Park 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.11
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.73
High (7–8)
IV 1.13

Today: Believed (draw 8) and Echo Inferno (draw 7) get the bias; Nil Bua Gan Dua (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Nil Bua Gan Dua
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6
3yo · C · bpFT P
53144
9870.1
5/1·6.00
SP
28
Vauntingly
J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3
3yo · F · bt
3221
8568.3
9/1·10.00
SP
35
Believed
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 8
3yo · F · bh
4213
9655.3
6/5F·2.20
SP
41
Amadeus Mozart
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4
3yo · C · b
12722
10059.7
11/4·3.75
SP
57
Saga Gaga
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 1
3yo · F · ch
711
9661.7
13/2·7.50
SP
66
Camino Vino
J: Rory Cleary · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 5
3yo · F · br
150
8845.7
125/1·126.00
SP
PU2
Echo Inferno
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 7
3yo · G · b
051
8849.8
22/1·23.00
SP
——
Shosholoza
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2
3yo · C · btFT T
15866
9862.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:22 Gowran Park on 25 July 2026?

Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) won the 15:22 Gowran Park at SP 6.00. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:22 Gowran Park?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Nil Bua Gan Dua, won the race (AI score 70.1).

What were the placings in the 15:22 Gowran Park?

Top finishers: 1. Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) (6.00), 2. Vauntingly (IRE) (10.00), 3. Believed (IRE) (2.20).

What was the winning time for the 15:22 Gowran Park?

The winning time was 2m 33.63s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org