Who won the 19:40 Ripon on 27 July 2026?
Paper View (IRE) won the 19:40 Ripon at SP 3.50. Ridden by Joe Leavy. Trained by Richard Hannon.
19:40 Ripon
Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Nursery Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £4,711 · Monday, 27 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stPaper View (IRE)Joe Leavy·Richard Hannon5/2·3.50SP
- 2ndHarley (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell·beaten 1.25 lengths9/4F·3.25SP
- 3rdAura Of Melania (GB)Oisin McSweeney·Roger Fell·beaten 0.05 lengths14/1·15.00SP
Race time
1m 11.87s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Paper View (IRE))
“Racing close up - hit the front over 2f out - shifted right under pressure and stayed on strongly inside final furlong”
AI top-rated Empire Rising (score 60.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Paper View
Paper View is our selection, preferred over the higher-rated Harley on a progressive profile, a fitness edge and a speed figure that backs up the form. The gap between the pair on our figures is just a pound, so this is very much a form and fitness argument rather than a ratings one. Eleven Eighty Two and Moriarty Moon also have claims as leading dangers, but Paper View's overall picture gets the nod, and confidence in this selection is medium.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Empire Rising
Rowan Scott · Charlie Clover · 2yo
Top-rated of 6
score 60.5 · +5.2 clear of next best (55.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=5)Charlie Clover: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong26d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69
- Form20% weight38below averageLast 6: 0-4-4
MarketBest price 10.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ripon 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.94
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.15
High (5–6)
IV 0.93
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 162 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 2yo · G · b | 4551 | 73 | 49.7 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 6 2yo · G · ch | 523 | 75 | 49.7 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Roger Fell · draw 1 2yo · F · ch | 6445 | 63 | 38.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Clover · draw 4 2yo · G · ch | 044 | 69 | 60.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Michael Bell · draw 2 2yo · G · ch | 676 | 67 | 41.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Ben Haslam · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 422 | 70 | 55.3 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:40 Ripon?
No — the AI top pick (Empire Rising) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 19:40 Ripon?
Top finishers: 1. Paper View (IRE) (3.50), 2. Harley (IRE) (3.25), 3. Aura Of Melania (GB) (15.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:40 Ripon?
The winning time was 1m 11.87s.
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