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oddschecker.com AJA Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £3,974 · Thursday, 30 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Poet's Dawn (GB)
    Miss Rebecca Burley·Tim Easterby
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Flightofthephoenix (IRE)
    Mr James Hills·Charles Hills·beaten 2.25 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Galaxy Wonder (IRE)AI top pick · 51.8
    Mr Charles Carroll·Tony Carroll·beaten 1.5 lengths
    100/30J·4.33
    SP
Race time
2m 11.84s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Poet's Dawn (GB))

“Held eagerly early - went straight to front and stayed there throughout - asked for effort and opened a two length advantage 2f out extending to four lengths entering final furlong - kept up to mark and allowed to coast home unchallenged”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Poet's Dawn

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Galaxy Wonder

Mr Charles Carroll · Tony Carroll · 4yo

Top-rated of 6
score 51.8 · +4.4 clear of next best (47.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    65average
    Last 6: 1-1-2-2-5-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Tony Carroll: 4/35 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.99
High (6–7)
IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
11yo · G · chp
416631
6845.9
9/2·5.50
SP
24
J: Mr James Hills(3) · T: Charles Hills · draw 4
4yo · F · gr
35377
6542.5
7/2·4.50
SP
31
J: Mr Charles Carroll · T: Tony Carroll · draw 5
4yo · G · b
112253
7051.8
100/30J·4.33
SP
43
4yo · G · bt
460132
6646.9
100/30J·4.33
SP
55
J: Mr William Pearman · T: Tony Carroll · draw 7
5yo · G · b
300151
6147.4
7/2·4.50
SP
67
J: Miss Taryn Cole(3) · T: Craig Benton · draw 2
7yo · G · bb
198642
5645.9
18/1·19.00
SP
——
7yo · G · b
47580
5929.4—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:25 Nottingham on 30 July 2026?

Poet's Dawn (GB) won the 17:25 Nottingham at SP 5.50. Ridden by Miss Rebecca Burley. Trained by Tim Easterby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:25 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (Galaxy Wonder) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 17:25 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Poet's Dawn (GB) (5.50), 2. Flightofthephoenix (IRE) (4.50), 3. Galaxy Wonder (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 17:25 Nottingham?

The winning time was 2m 11.84s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org