18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

16:10 Goodwood

Regent Seven Seas Cruises Bentinck Conditions Stakes

1m1f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £51,540 · Friday, 31 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Galen (GB)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Boiling Point (IRE)AI top pick · 70.7
    Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke·beaten 0.3 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Jonquil (GB)
    Colin Keane·Andrew Balding·beaten .5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 52.95s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Galen (GB))

Set the pace from the start - pushed along with 2f left and holding a two-length margin entering the last furlong - edge narrowed close home but held on for the win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way63.7/100 rating
Galen
4.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Boiling Point

Boiling Point heads this nine-runner Goodwood Class 2 over nine furlongs on good ground rated narrowly ahead of Galen, and that pair look the dominant forces in the race. Galen and Haatem represent the chief dangers, with Jonquil also capable of making his presence felt should the first two disappoint. A medium-confidence call this, yet Boiling Point's superiority at the head of the ratings gives him the edge on form assessment. **Boiling Point** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Boiling Point

Clifford Lee · K. R. Burke · 5yo

Top-rated of 7
score 70.7 · +5.3 clear of next best (65.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    75strong
    OR 112
  • Form20% weight
    62average
    Last 6: 4-3-1-3-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    K. R. Burke: 8/36 winners last 14d (22%)
MarketBest price 4.40 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m1f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.82
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.19
High (7–9)
IV 1.02

Today: Boiling Point (draw 6) and Jonquil (draw 4) get the bias; Ambiente Friendly (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 104 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
5yo · G · chv
32404
11463.7
3/1F·4.00
SP
21
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6
5yo · H · b
43134
11270.7
100/30·4.33
SP
32
J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
4yo · C · b
97197
11262.1
9/2·5.50
SP
45
4yo · G · b
33671
10754.8
11/1·12.00
SP
59
J: James Doyle · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8
5yo · H · b
13670
11260.4
100/30·4.33
SP
67
J: Billy Loughnane · T: James Owen · draw 2
5yo · G · bp
48468
10365.2
12/1·13.00
SP
76
4yo · G · bp
112536
11257.6
14/1·15.00
SP
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 7
4yo · G · b
11317
10465.4
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 3
6yo · G · b
81525
11056.8

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:10 Goodwood on 31 July 2026?

Galen (GB) won the 16:10 Goodwood at SP 4.00. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Boiling Point) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:10 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Galen (GB) (4.00), 2. Boiling Point (IRE) (4.33), 3. Jonquil (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:10 Goodwood?

The winning time was 1m 52.95s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org