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Next · 11m14:00Southwell (AW)

16:45 Goodwood

Hawes & Curtis Nursery Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 18 runners · £30,924 · Friday, 31 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Revels (GB)
    Sam James·K. R. Burke
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dubai Champion (IRE)
    Ryan Moore·Ben Haslam·beaten 0.1 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Innichen (ITY)AI top pick · 64.9
    Tom Marquand·Jack Channon·beaten .5 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
1m 10.33s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Revels (GB))

Settled in the pack towards the near rail - boxed in briefly with 2f to go - pushed along and made progress a furlong out - finished strongly to get up on the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way64.9/100 rating
Innichen
9.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Sovereign Glory

Sovereign Glory heads this competitive 18-runner Class 2 sprint at Goodwood on the strength of a rating that sits ten pounds clear of Super Tuscan and a full eleven ahead of Clash Of Hearts, giving our selection a sizeable edge over the field. Super Tuscan and Clash Of Hearts are the most credible threats in a race where the first four in the ratings are closely grouped, and Jaijai will also need watching if conditions continue to suit. Sovereign Glory's superiority on form makes the case straightforward, and good ground over six furlongs at Goodwood looks an ideal setting. **Sovereign Glory** is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Innichen

Tom Marquand · Jack Channon · 2yo

Top-rated of 18
score 64.9 · +1.1 clear of next best (63.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    88very strong
    Last 6: 6-2-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    Jack Channon: 5/22 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82
MarketBest price 9.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.33
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.96
High (13–18)
IV 0.66

Today: Innichen (draw 1) and Dubai Champion (draw 4) get the bias; Jaijai (draw 15) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 112 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 16
2yo · C · ch
19
8555.3
11/1·12.00
SP
28
J: Ryan Moore · T: Ben Haslam · draw 4
2yo · C · b
431
8358.7
4/1·5.00
SP
39
J: Tom Marquand · T: Jack Channon · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
6211
8264.9
13/2·7.50
SP
45
J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 17
2yo · C · b
310
8450.7
18/1·19.00
SP
518
J: Olivia Tubb(5) · T: J S Moore · draw 6
2yo · F · bp
5632
6752.1
50/1·51.00
SP
610
2yo · G · gr
5415
8052.0
28/1·29.00
SP
74
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2
2yo · C · b
442
8457.8
5/2F·3.50
SP
87
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 12
2yo · C · ch
231
8463.6
5/1·6.00
SP
911
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5
2yo · G · b
45511
7355.9
14/1·15.00
SP
101
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard Hannon · draw 14
2yo · C · b
510
8855.5
12/1·13.00
SP
1114
J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 11
2yo · F · ch
4213
7457.0
33/1·34.00
SP
122
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Clive Cox · draw 8
2yo · C · b
415
8752.7
12/1·13.00
SP
1315
2yo · G · b
3568
7343.2
80/1·81.00
SP
1416
J: J F Egan · T: George Baker · draw 10
2yo · C · bpFT P
344
7059.3
100/1·101.00
SP
1512
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 7
2yo · G · ch
100
7644.2
33/1·34.00
SP
166
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 15
2yo · C · b
6212
8463.8
18/1·19.00
SP
1713
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 13
2yo · F · b
9231
7549.8
33/1·34.00
SP
1817
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3
2yo · F · b
618
6937.8
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Goodwood on 31 July 2026?

Revels (GB) won the 16:45 Goodwood at SP 12.00. Ridden by Sam James. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Innichen) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Revels (GB) (12.00), 2. Dubai Champion (IRE) (5.00), 3. Innichen (ITY) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Goodwood?

The winning time was 1m 10.33s.

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