Who won the 15:55 Newcastle (AW) on 31 July 2026?
Houndhill (GB) won the 15:55 Newcastle (AW) at SP 9.00. Ridden by Alex Jary. Trained by Nigel Tinkler.
15:55 Newcastle (AW)
Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £3,978 · Friday, 31 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 12thRace report
- 1stHoundhill (GB)Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler8/1·9.00SP
- 2ndBrave Traveller (GB)Cam Hardie·Bryan Smart·beaten 1.25 lengths6/1·7.00SP
- 3rdMayflyer (GB)Oisin Orr·Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay·beaten 0.3 lengths33/1·34.00SP
Race time
1m 1.72s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Houndhill (GB))
“Handy early position - hit the front over 2f out and opened daylight approaching final furlong - stayed on strongly to the line for the win”
AI top-rated Nana's Boy George (score 61.9) finished 12th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Brave Traveller
Brave Traveller heads the field on these ratings, narrowly ahead of Believeinmenow, and lines up over a trip and surface that should suit on a competitive card at Newcastle. The medium confidence here reflects the closeness at the top, with Believeinmenow only a pound behind and capable of making this a stern test, while Houndhill and Go Lockers Go also merit respect in a thirteen-runner field. That said, Brave Traveller's edge at the head of the ratings is the guiding factor, and the five-furlong trip on the all-weather should allow his qualities to show. **Brave Traveller** is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Nana's Boy George
Barry McHugh · Alexandra Dunn · 3yo
Top-rated of 12
score 61.9 · +4.3 clear of next best (57.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)Alexandra Dunn: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 6-6-4-2-1
- Freshness10% weight65strong84d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.02
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.88
High (10–13)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 6 3yo · G · bv | 681008 | 68 | 40.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Bryan Smart · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 59273 | 67 | 39.3 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 3 | 11 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 543 | 62 | 45.7 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 422739 | 68 | 43.1 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Jonny Peate · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 8 3yo · G · bt | 35017 | 64 | 46.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 13 3yo · G · bt | 362927 | 64 | 39.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: P J McDonald · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 53325 | 64 | 54.9 | 4/1F·5.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Michael Bell · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 11225 | 69 | 47.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 11 3yo · F · b | 94430 | 65 | 45.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 13 | J: Mark Winn · T: Iain Jardine · draw 12 3yo · F · ch | 614625 | 56 | 39.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 11 | 12 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 41068 | 60 | 37.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 12 | 5 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Alexandra Dunn · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 66421 | 66 | 61.9 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Poppy Scott(7) · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 1 3yo · F · bb | 78411 | 64 | 57.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:55 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Nana's Boy George) finished 12.
What were the placings in the 15:55 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Houndhill (GB) (9.00), 2. Brave Traveller (GB) (7.00), 3. Mayflyer (GB) (34.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:55 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 1.72s.
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