Who won the 19:25 Musselburgh on 31 July 2026?
Francisco's Piece (GB) won the 19:25 Musselburgh at SP 7.50. Ridden by Oisin McSweeney. Trained by Adrian Keatley.
19:25 Musselburgh
Bernard Hunter Metal Recycling Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners · £6,804 · Friday, 31 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stFrancisco's Piece (GB)Oisin McSweeney·Adrian Keatley13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndMontezuma (GB)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.3 lengths9/4F·3.25SP
- 3rdJer Batt (IRE)David Nolan·David & Nicola Barron·beaten .5 lengths11/4·3.75SP
Race time
58.65s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Francisco's Piece (GB))
“Tracked the front runner early - urged forward approaching final 2f - hit the front inside last furlong under pressure - had to fend off a rival close home - stayed on strongly in the closing stages to prevail”
AI top-rated Mighty Magnus (score 61.5) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Jer Batt
Jer Batt heads this five-runner sprint at Musselburgh rated narrowly ahead of the pair immediately beneath him, Mighty Magnus and Francisco's Piece, who both carry identical figures and represent the most pressing dangers alongside Montezuma. The five-furlong good ground conditions look straightforward enough, but the closeness of the form at the top of the ratings means little separates the leading trio on merit. On balance, **Jer Batt** gets the nod, though punters should be aware this is a tight call.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Mighty Magnus
Connor Beasley · Michael Dods · 3yo
Top-rated of 5
score 61.5 · +1.2 clear of next best (60.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight60averageMichael Dods: 6/25 winners last 14d (24%)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight56averageLast 6: 2-0-3-1-5-3
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 5f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.25).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.89
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.85
High (5–5)
IV 1.25
Today: Curious Rover (draw 5) gets the bias; Francisco's Piece (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 3 4yo · C · b | 00575 | 81 | 50.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2 4yo · G · bh | 212053 | 78 | 46.7 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: David Nolan · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 4 6yo · G · ch | 33773 | 82 | 48.6 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Katie Scott · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 744471 | 76 | 60.3 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 203153 | 85 | 61.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:25 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Mighty Magnus) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 19:25 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Francisco's Piece (GB) (7.50), 2. Montezuma (GB) (3.25), 3. Jer Batt (IRE) (3.75).
What was the winning time for the 19:25 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 58.65s.
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