Who won the 20:25 Musselburgh on 31 July 2026?
Inappropriate (IRE) won the 20:25 Musselburgh at SP 4.33. Ridden by Greg Fairley. Trained by Ewan Whillans.
20:25 Musselburgh
Lens Self Storage Handicap Stakes
2m · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners · £4,710 · Friday, 31 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 100/30·4.33Race report
- 1stInappropriate (IRE)AI top pick · 64.0Greg Fairley·Ewan Whillans100/30·4.33SP
- 2ndArrange (IRE)David Nolan·Martin Todhunter·beaten .75 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdCascade Hall (IRE)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
3m 29.98s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Inappropriate (IRE))
“Settled in the pack early - made progress into contention 3f out - hit the front approaching 2f out under pressure - matched stride for stride through the closing stages - held on to prevail at the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way64.0/100 rating
Inappropriate
5.50Unibet
Place portion settles at 2.13 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Arrange
Arrange has been building a progressive profile that gives reason to think this Class 5 contest over sixteen furlongs at Musselburgh falls within reach, and while Teofimo heads the field on ratings by a narrow pound, that gap is close enough to be overturned by a horse continuing to improve. Inappropriate and Simple Star hold realistic chances of running into a place, and with confidence modest, this is by no means a straightforward call. **Arrange** is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Inappropriate
Greg Fairley · Ewan Whillans · 5yo
Top-rated of 6
score 64.0 · +14.7 clear of next best (49.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=9)Ewan Whillans: 3/9 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 6-2-4-3-2
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 5.50 (Unibet) · 3rd in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 2m
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.17
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.64
High (6–7)
IV 1.13
Today: Inappropriate (draw 1) and Cascade Hall (draw 3) get the bias; Simple Star (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 54 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 1 5yo · G · chtp | 62432 | 75 | 64.0 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: David Nolan · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 5 8yo · M · grp | 03062 | 69 | 39.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 7yo · G · bh | 121343 | 64 | 47.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 4 8yo · G · b | 89625 | 68 | 39.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7 7yo · G · b | 52131 | 66 | 49.4 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Ben Robinson · T: Adam Nicol · draw 6 5yo · G · bt | 6278 | 74 | 38.4 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 2 8yo · G · b | 213310 | 71 | 43.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:25 Musselburgh?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Inappropriate, won the race (AI score 64.0).
What were the placings in the 20:25 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Inappropriate (IRE) (4.33), 2. Arrange (IRE) (5.00), 3. Cascade Hall (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 20:25 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 3m 29.98s.
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