Who won the 15:40 Doncaster on 1 August 2026?
Mariner (IRE) won the 15:40 Doncaster at SP 2.75. Ridden by Jude Fernandes. Trained by Jennie Candlish.
15:40 Doncaster
Yates Drywall Ltd Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £3,768 · Saturday, 1 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stMariner (IRE)Jude Fernandes·Jennie Candlish7/4·2.75SP
- 2ndWhiskey Pete (IRE)Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler·beaten .5 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdSuper Hit (FR)AI top pick · 59.5Christian Howarth·James Owen·beaten 4.75 lengths6/5F·2.20SP
Race time
2m 12.88s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Mariner (IRE))
“Held up in the pack - urged forward 2f out and gained ground entering the final furlong - stayed on strongly to hit the front close home”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Mariner
Cosmos Raj holds a narrow rating edge over our selection, but Mariner's progressive profile is the compelling reason to side with him here over ten furlongs at Doncaster on good-to-firm ground. Super Hit matches Mariner on ratings and cannot be dismissed, while Cosmos Raj and the lightly-regarded Magic Runner will also demand respect from the main protagonists. On the basis of his upward trajectory suggesting there is more to come, **Mariner** is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Super Hit
Christian Howarth(3) · James Owen · 5yo
Top-rated of 6
score 59.5 · +12.7 clear of next best (46.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight80very strongJames Owen: 17/53 winners last 14d (32%)
- Form20% weight71strongLast 6: 6-7-4-1-3-1
- Freshness10% weight70strong12d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 67 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Doncaster 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.20
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.05
High (5–6)
IV 0.73
Today: Cosmos Raj (draw 1) and Steps In Time (draw 2) get the bias; Super Hit (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jude Fernandes(7) · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 3 5yo · G · btp | 728934 | 62 | 46.7 | 7/4·2.75 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 5 5yo · G · cht | 00096 | 55 | 32.0 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: James Owen · draw 6 5yo · G · bht | 674131 | 67 | 59.5 | 6/5F·2.20 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 1 8yo · G · bp | 95766 | 65 | 40.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 4 4yo · F · b | 135570 | 58 | 36.1 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Philip Kirby · draw 2 5yo · G · bpFT P | 27U59 | 54 | 28.4 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Doncaster?
No — the AI top pick (Super Hit) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:40 Doncaster?
Top finishers: 1. Mariner (IRE) (2.75), 2. Whiskey Pete (IRE) (8.00), 3. Super Hit (FR) (2.20).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Doncaster?
The winning time was 2m 12.88s.
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