Who won the 15:40 Nottingham on 3 August 2026?
Mobadir (IRE) won the 15:40 Nottingham at SP 2.20. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.
15:40 Nottingham
Weatherbys VAT Services Nursery Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 3 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stMobadir (IRE)Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker6/5F·2.20SP
- 2ndLeucothea (IRE)Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten 0.3 lengths8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdStar People (FR)Marco Ghiani·John & Sean Quinn·beaten .5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
1m 11.68s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Mobadir (IRE))
“Settled with the front group early - asked for effort 2f out - gained ground fast approaching the furlong pole - hit the front close home under pressure - fought off a late rally to prevail by a whisker”
AI top-rated Dissenter (score 53.5) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Leucothea
Leucothea heads this seven-runner Nottingham sprint on the strength of her rating, though she holds only a narrow edge over Fern Clyde and a three-pound advantage over Boleto, making this a genuinely competitive Class 5 contest over six furlongs on good-to-firm ground. Fern Clyde represents the most immediate threat and will need watching closely, while Boleto and Star People are capable of making their presence felt if the principals underperform. The selection's slight edge at the head of the ratings gives her a slender claim, though this is a race that could go several ways. **Leucothea** is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dissenter
Ashley Lewis(5) · Marcus Tregoning · 2yo
Top-rated of 7
score 53.5 · +1.7 clear of next best (51.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight77strongLast 6: 5-1
- Freshness10% weight70strong10d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
- Trainer20% weight43small sample (n=6)Marcus Tregoning: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.90
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.04
High (6–7)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 7 2yo · G · b | 667 | 68 | 46.7 | 6/5F·2.20 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 2320 | 71 | 51.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 6 2yo · G · b | 052 | 71 | 48.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 1 2yo · G · b | 7404 | 67 | 39.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 51 | 68 | 53.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 2yo · F · chht | 643134 | 72 | 47.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 106 | 74 | 44.0 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Dissenter) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 15:40 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Mobadir (IRE) (2.20), 2. Leucothea (IRE) (9.00), 3. Star People (FR) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 11.68s.
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