19:05 Chepstow

Happy Birthday Colin Spencer Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,339 · Thursday, 6 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Revelance (GB)
Edward Greatrex·Ralph Beckett
9/4F·3.25
SP
2nd
Nakaaha (GB)
David Egan·Grace Harris·beaten 1 length
10/1·11.00
SP
3rd
Spirit Of The Bay (IRE)AI top pick · 58.9
Taylor Fisher·John & Rhys Flint·beaten .5 lengths
17/2·9.50
SP

Race time

1m 33.84s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Revelance (GB))

“Set the pace from the off - pushed along a furlong out - finished strongly to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Revelance

Talis Evolvere heads the field on ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, but Revelance is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests the best may still be ahead of this runner. Serenity Blue and Nakaaha are the other principal dangers and will need watching in a competitive Class 4 contest over this mile trip at Chepstow. Revelance, though narrowly behind the top-rated on our assessment, looks the one most likely to improve into the race. **Revelance** is our selection, though confidence is modest.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Spirit Of The Bay

Taylor Fisher · John & Rhys Flint · 8yo

Top-rated of 7

score 58.9 · +3.1 clear of next best (55.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
75strong
John & Rhys Flint: 3/10 winners last 14d (30%)
Freshness10% weight
70strong
13d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
66strong
Last 6: 4-4-7-2-1
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 71

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.06

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.95

High (6–7)

IV 0.98

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Revelance J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 7 4yo · F · b	23976	10-01	84	—	—	47.0	9/4F·3.25 SP
2	4	Nakaaha J: David Egan · T: Grace Harris · draw 6 4yo · F · bh	255610	9-11	80	—	—	44.4	10/1·11.00 SP
3	6	Spirit Of The Bay J: Taylor Fisher · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 1 8yo · M · bp	44721	9-02	71	—	—	58.9	17/2·9.50 SP
4	2	Serenity Blue J: Lewis Edmunds · T: James Horton · draw 4 4yo · G · chp	93004	10-01	84	—	—	41.2	6/1·7.00 SP
5	5	Auburn Avenue J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 5 5yo · M · ch	72871	9-02	71	—	—	55.8	5/1·6.00 SP
6	1	Talis Evolvere J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 6yo · G · b	808276	10-02	85	—	—	52.0	3/1·4.00 SP
7	7	Windbreaker J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 2 3yo · C · bp	33426	9-00	76	—	—	55.0	10/1·11.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:05 Chepstow on 6 August 2026?

Revelance (GB) won the 19:05 Chepstow at SP 3.25. Ridden by Edward Greatrex. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:05 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Spirit Of The Bay) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:05 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Revelance (GB) (3.25), 2. Nakaaha (GB) (11.00), 3. Spirit Of The Bay (IRE) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:05 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 33.84s.

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