Who won the 15:10 Thirsk on 7 August 2026?
Bymiddaytomorrow (IRE) won the 15:10 Thirsk at SP 2.38. Ridden by Ashley Lewis. Trained by Ed Walker.
15:10 Thirsk
Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners · £3,926 · Friday, 7 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stBymiddaytomorrow (IRE)Ashley Lewis·Ed Walker11/8F·2.38SP
- 2ndLove Tanya (IRE)AI top pick · 57.9Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell·beaten 0.2 lengths11/4·3.75SP
- 3rdGerry's Darling (GB)Kevin Stott·Roger Fell·beaten 3.75 lengths11/4·3.75SP
Race time
1m 27.79s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Bymiddaytomorrow (IRE))
“Sat third early - pushed along inside final furlong before hitting front - stayed on to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Bymiddaytomorrow
Bymiddaytomorrow arrives at Thirsk sitting narrowly ahead of the field on ratings, and her form profile justifies that standing — she has shown consistent ability at this level and the step up to seven furlongs on good ground should play squarely to her strengths. Gerry's Darling is the most credible threat on an 11-pound deficit, while Priscilla's Hope and Love Tanya share the same rating and cannot be entirely dismissed in a small field. That said, the gap between our selection and the chasing pack looks too wide to bridge over this trip. **Bymiddaytomorrow** is the clear pick.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Love Tanya
Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell · 2yo
Top-rated of 6
score 57.9 · +2.7 clear of next best (55.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 3-2
- Trainer20% weight53averageEdward Bethell: 6/29 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Thirsk 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.82
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.04
High (6–7)
IV 1.16
Today: Love Tanya (draw 7) and Consultation (draw 6) get the bias; Bymiddaytomorrow (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 6581 | 72 | 55.2 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 32 | 69 | 57.9 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Roger Fell · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 8721 | 65 | 48.6 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Brian Ellison · draw 4 2yo · F · ch | 570 | 55 | 34.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Ben Haslam · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 97433 | 45 | 34.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Philip McBride · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 36585 | 55 | 31.9 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: James Fanshawe · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 533 | 68 | 47.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Thirsk?
No — the AI top pick (Love Tanya) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:10 Thirsk?
Top finishers: 1. Bymiddaytomorrow (IRE) (2.38), 2. Love Tanya (IRE) (3.75), 3. Gerry's Darling (GB) (3.75).
What was the winning time for the 15:10 Thirsk?
The winning time was 1m 27.79s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org