What time is the National Racehorse Week 2026 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?
The National Racehorse Week 2026 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 15:15 on 11 August 2026 at Carlisle (Great Britain).
← All racecards15:15
Carlisle
Great BritainNational Racehorse Week 2026 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Tuesday, 11 August 2026
7f·Flat·Class 3·Good·5 runners·£7,020
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.062.1/100 rating
Rogue Passion
1.80Bet365· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Racing Alpha pick
Rogue Passion
Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell · 2yo
62.1/100
+36.7 vs next best (25.4)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong33d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 4-2
- Trainer20% weight63averageEdward Bethell: 7/28 winners last 14d (25%)
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 83 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 1.80 (Bet365) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(1)
- Mid-division(0)—
- Hold-up / closers(2)
- Unknown(2)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Fair | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2yo · F · b | 5 | 9-02 | — | — | — | 20.5 | 7/2·4.65 | 3/1·4.00LiveScore Bet | ||
| 2 | 3 | 2yo · F · gr | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 18.0 | 13/2·7.56+6% vs mkt | 7·8.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| 3 | 4 | 2yo · F · b | 42 | 9-02 | 83 | — | — | 62.1 | EVS·2.01 | 4/5·1.80Bet365 | ||
| 4 | 5 | 2yo · F · b | 6 | 9-02 | — | — | — | 22.0 | 12/1·12.80+9% vs mkt | 13·14.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| 5 | 2 | 2yo · F · ch | 02 | 9-02 | — | — | — | 25.4 | 12/1·12.80+9% vs mkt | 13·14.00SmarketsSBK |
Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 16% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 15:15 Carlisle?
7f, Class 3, Flat, 5 runners declared.
What is the going for the 15:15 Carlisle?
Going is reported as Good on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:15 Carlisle?
The AI top-rated runner is Rogue Passion (score 62.1, best price 1.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 15:15 Carlisle?
The market favourite is Rogue Passion at a best price of 1.80.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org