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20:15 Nottingham

Oddschecker Fillies' Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £4,458 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/1·6.00
  1. 1st
    Melissa Honey (GB)AI top pick · 51.3
    David Probert·Michael Herrington
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Thunderous Love (GB)
    Rob Hornby·Jonathan Portman·beaten 0.3 lengths
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Come On Eibhlin (IRE)
    Jack Callan·Dylan Cunha·beaten .75 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 11.84s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Melissa Honey (GB))

“Pulling hard early - settled towards the back - pushed along with two furlongs left - progress into the final furlong and got up on the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Thunderous Love

Thunderous Love holds a progressive profile that argues in her favour over the top-rated Come On Eibhlin, even though Come On Eibhlin sits six points clear on current figures — a margin that a horse still moving in the right direction can overhaul. Seeing Stars and Sugar Sugar fill out the main dangers in a modest Class 5 six-furlong contest on good-to-firm ground at Nottingham, and neither can be dismissed lightly. Confidence is limited given the rating gap, but a horse on the upgrade commands respect. **Thunderous Love** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Melissa Honey

David Probert · Michael Herrington · 4yo

Top-rated of 6
score 51.3 · +0.2 clear of next best (51.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 4-3-1-2-1-3
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Michael Herrington: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 56
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.90
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.04
High (5–6)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Melissa Honey
J: David Probert · T: Michael Herrington · draw 3
4yo · F · b
431213
5651.3
5/1·6.00
SP
25
Thunderous Love
J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 2
5yo · M · bp
769692
6240.9
15/8F·2.88
SP
31
Come On Eibhlin
J: Jack Callan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 6
3yo · F · btb
633459
6943.0
9/2·5.50
SP
43
Seeing Stars
J: Marco Ghiani · T: William Knight · draw 5
3yo · F · chpFT P
213438
6746.8
5/1·6.00
SP
52
Sugar Sugar
J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 4
3yo · F · b/es
9321
6751.0
7/2·4.50
SP
64
Sweet Desire
J: George Wood · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 1
4yo · F · b
048
6333.5
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:15 Nottingham on 11 August 2026?

Melissa Honey (GB) won the 20:15 Nottingham at SP 6.00. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by Michael Herrington.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:15 Nottingham?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Melissa Honey, won the race (AI score 51.3).

What were the placings in the 20:15 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Melissa Honey (GB) (6.00), 2. Thunderous Love (GB) (2.88), 3. Come On Eibhlin (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 20:15 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 11.84s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org