What time is the Oddschecker Fillies' Handicap Stakes?
The Oddschecker Fillies' Handicap Stakes is off at 20:15 on 11 August 2026 at Nottingham (Great Britain).
20:15 Nottingham
Oddschecker Fillies' Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £4,458 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
AI top-rated
Melissa Honey · No. 6 · best 15/2·8.60 Betfair Exchange
Highest AI score (51.3) in the field, 0.2 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 5% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.
Racing Alpha pick
Melissa Honey
David Probert · Michael Herrington · 4yo
51.3/100
+0.2 vs next best (51.0)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight78strongLast 6: 4-3-1-2-1-3
- Freshness10% weight70strong13d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Trainer20% weight50averageMichael Herrington: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 56
MarketBest price 8.60 (Betfair Exchange) — 3rd pick of 6 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(4)
- Mid-division(0)—
- Hold-up / closers(0)—
- Unknown(2)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Draw bias — Nottingham 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.90
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.04
High (5–6)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by AI score
Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair| No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | Fair | Best | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Melissa HoneyPick J: David Probert · T: Michael Herrington · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 431213 | 56 | 51.3 | 8/1·9.06 | 8.6·8.60 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair | |
| 2 | J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 4 3yo · F · b/es | 9321 | 67 | 51.0 | 11/4·3.68 | 3.65·3.65 Betfair Exchange | |
| 3 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: William Knight · draw 5 3yo · F · chpFT P | 213438 | 67 | 46.8 | 15/2·8.49 | 8.8·8.80 Betfair Exchange · +4% vs fair | |
| 1 | J: Jack Callan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 6 3yo · F · btb | 633459 | 69 | 43.0 | 15/2·8.49 | 8.6·8.60 Betfair Exchange | |
| 5 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 2 5yo · M · bp | 769692 | 62 | 40.9 | 2/1·2.98 | 15/8·2.88 Bet365 · -3% vs fair | |
| 4 | J: George Wood · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 1 4yo · F · b | 048 | 63 | 33.5 | 20/1·21.51 | 21·21.00 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 13% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 20:15 Nottingham?
6f, Class 5, Flat, 6 runners declared.
What is the going for the 20:15 Nottingham?
Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:15 Nottingham?
The AI top-rated runner is Melissa Honey (score 51.3, best price 8.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 20:15 Nottingham?
The market favourite is Thunderous Love at a best price of 2.88. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Melissa Honey.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyThunderous Love holds a progressive profile that argues in her favour over the top-rated Come On Eibhlin, even though Come On Eibhlin sits six points clear on current figures — a margin that a horse still moving in the right direction can overhaul. Seeing Stars and Sugar Sugar fill out the main dangers in a modest Class 5 six-furlong contest on good-to-firm ground at Nottingham, and neither can be dismissed lightly. Confidence is limited given the rating gap, but a horse on the upgrade commands respect. **Thunderous Love** is our selection.
Racing Post pick: Thunderous Love
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org