What time is the Kinrara Distillery Scottish Trophy Handicap Stakes?
The Kinrara Distillery Scottish Trophy Handicap Stakes is off at 19:00 on 11 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).
19:00 Hamilton
Kinrara Distillery Scottish Trophy Handicap Stakes
1m1f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 13 runners · £13,400 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
AI top-rated
Return To Unit · No. 2 · best 7/1·8.20 Betfair Exchange
Highest AI score (62.1) in the field, 6.3 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 11% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way62.1/100 rating
Return To Unit
8.20Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Return To Unit
Sean D Bowen · Roger Varian · 4yo
62.1/100
+6.3 vs next best (55.8)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 7-2-1-7-1
- Freshness10% weight65strong61d since last run (rusty)
- Trainer20% weight63averageRoger Varian: 7/28 winners last 14d (25%)
- Ratings50% weight59averageOR 88 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 8.20 (Betfair Exchange) — 4th pick of 13 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.
- Front-runners(1)
- Prominent(1)
- Mid-division(2)
- Hold-up / closers(2)
- Unknown(7)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Draw bias — Hamilton 1m1f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.95
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.02
High (10–13)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by AI score
Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fairOR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 19:00 Hamilton?
1m1f, Class 3, Flat, 13 runners declared.
What is the going for the 19:00 Hamilton?
Going is reported as Good on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:00 Hamilton?
The AI top-rated runner is Return To Unit (score 62.1, best price 8.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 19:00 Hamilton?
The market favourite is Point Of Contact at a best price of 6.40. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Return To Unit.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyCadarn rates narrowly behind the top two on paper but holds a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, and a fitness edge over rivals returning from a break tilts the balance in his favour on this good-to-soft ground at Hamilton over nine furlongs. Brigid's Well and Strength Of Spirit, both rated a pound ahead, are the chief dangers alongside Point Of Contact, and any one of that trio could make this a stern test. The selection's trajectory, however, points to him performing at or beyond his current rating, which is the decisive factor here. **Cadarn** is our selection.
Racing Post pick: Cadarn
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org