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20:00 Hamilton

Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 13 runners · £5,286 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Top Juggler · No. 9 · best 9/2·5.40 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (64.2) in the field, 4.0 clear of the next best. Drawn 3, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip. Best price is currently 9% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Each-way64.2/100 rating
Top Juggler
5.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Top Juggler

Dale Swift · Seb Spencer · 4yo

64.2/100
+4.0 vs next best (60.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    74strong
    Last 6: 3-5-3-2-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    Seb Spencer: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79
MarketBest price 5.40 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Hamilton 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.19
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.00
High (10–13)
IV 0.79

Today: Top Juggler (draw 3) and Never Just A Dream (draw 2) get the bias; Trilby (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 3
4yo · G · b
35321
7964.25/1·5.945.4·5.40
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
7
J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: T J Kent · draw 2
6yo · G · ch
04049
8360.211/1·11.8712.5·12.50
Betfair Exchange · +5% vs fair
1
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 4
4yo · G · gr
231641
8659.09/1·9.899.2·9.20
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
2
J: P J McDonald · T: Sam England · draw 12
6yo · G · btp
261310
8555.918/1·19.7818.5·18.50
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
6
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
4yo · G · bt
01241
8452.911/1·11.8711·11.00
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
3
J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 9
4yo · G · ch
25542
8551.010/1·11.2117/2·9.50
Unibet · -15% vs fair
10
5yo · G · b
311255
7748.640/1·44.8446·46.00
Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair
5
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 11
4yo · F · b
49516
8448.133/1·34.2938·38.00
Betfair Exchange · +11% vs fair
13
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5
4yo · F · chp
004443
6944.112/1·12.5314.5·14.50
Betfair Exchange · +16% vs fair
4
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Julie Camacho · draw 13
4yo · G · bv
74609
8542.49/2·5.714.8·4.80
Betfair Exchange · -16% vs fair
12
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Alan Brown · draw 10
5yo · G · bpFT P
550148
7040.733/1·34.2955·55.00
Betfair Exchange · +60% vs fair
14
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 6
8yo · M · bb
216130
6638.918/1·19.7827·27.00
Betfair Exchange · +37% vs fair
11
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8
8yo · G · bp
00000
7737.728/1·27.7028·28.00
Betfair Exchange
ParisiacNon-runner
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 14
7yo · G · bp
81220
79Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Stakes?

The Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Stakes is off at 20:00 on 11 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:00 Hamilton?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:00 Hamilton?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:00 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Top Juggler (score 64.2, best price 5.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:00 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Milford at a best price of 4.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Top Juggler.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Never Just A Dream shares the highest rating in this 14-runner field but is preferred over the co-rated Territorial Knight and Milford on a progressive profile that the clock supports, suggesting there may be more to come from this horse on good-to-soft ground at Hamilton. Fitness edge over at least some of these rivals adds further appeal heading into what looks a genuinely competitive Class 4 contest over six furlongs. Territorial Knight and Milford demand respect at the same rating, while Bergerac, 4lb adrift on our figures, cannot be entirely dismissed if running to a peak. Confidence is tempered given the tight ratings picture at the head of the field, but the progressive case edges it — **Never Just A Dream**.

Racing Post pick: Never Just A Dream

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org