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Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard To Slow · 12 runners · £7,020 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Miss Miniver · No. 5 · best 6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK

Highest AI score (27.5) in the field, 2.5 clear of the next best. Drawn 7, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip. Best price sits ~16% above the market's de-overrounded fair price. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Each-way27.5/100 rating
Miss Miniver
7.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Miss Miniver

Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian · 2yo

27.5/100
+2.5 vs next best (25.0)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    Roger Varian: 7/28 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 7.00 (SmarketsSBK) — 3rd pick of 13 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.05
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.17
High (10–13)
IV 0.80

Today: Miss Miniver (draw 7) and Marsala (draw 8) get the bias; Sweet Katarina (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
5
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 7 · combo 6/27 (22%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
27.55/1·6.036·7.00
SmarketsSBK · +16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Harry Davies · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 1 · combo 2/14 (14%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
7
25.016/1·16.5714/1·15.00
Bet365 · -9% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 8 · combo 7/44 (16%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
4
22.59/2·5.6511/4·3.75
Bet365 · -34% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 · combo 9/46 (20%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
22.010/1·10.557/1·8.00
Bet365 · -24% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
2yo · F · chOnly runner
21.533/1·31.6428/1·29.00
Bet365 · -8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Charles Bishop · T: Alan King · draw 9
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
20.533/1·34.6522/1·23.00
Coral · -34% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
J: Neil Callan · T: Jack Morland · draw 12
2yo · F · bOnly runner
20.514/1·14.3110/1·11.00
Coral · -23% vs fair
All 10 books ▾
1
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 11 · combo 11/51 (22%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
19.55/1·6.034.5·5.50
SmarketsSBK · -9% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 2 · combo 3/40 (8%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
18.018/1·18.0813·14.00
SmarketsSBK · -23% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Dylan Hogan · T: David Simcock · draw 3
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
5
16.022/1·22.6020·21.00
SmarketsSBK · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: George Wood · T: David Simcock · draw 13
2yo · F · chOnly pairing
15.022/1·22.6020·21.00
SmarketsSBK · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Richard Hughes · draw 6
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
0
10.018/1·18.0812/1·13.00
Bet365 · -28% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Daisy Hitchins · draw 5
2yo · F · bOnly runner
0
8.5150/1·152.18125/1·126.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 10–29 bookmakers per horse with the 51% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)?

The Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) is off at 17:30 on 12 August 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard To Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Miss Miniver (score 27.5, best price 7.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Marsala at a best price of 3.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Miss Miniver.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org