Who won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) on 12 August 2026?
Kokbastau (GB) won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 2.10. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by Roger Varian.
20:30 Kempton (AW)
Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £8,246 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stKokbastau (GB)Cieren Fallon·Roger Varian11/10F·2.10SP
- 2ndBulletin (IRE)Harry Davies·Jonathan Portman·beaten 5 lengths3/1·4.00SP
- 3rdForever Penywern (GB)AI top pick · 66.0Edward Greatrex·Warren Greatrex·beaten .5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
2m 36.38s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Kokbastau (GB))
“Went straight to front - lost position past 9f out - settled just behind the pace - moved right approaching 2f out - regained command with a furlong left - sprinted away to score comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Son Of Man
Son Of Man sits narrowly behind the top three on ratings, but his progressive profile and fitness edge make a compelling case that the bare figures understate his current ability over this twelve-furlong Kempton trip. Cumulonimbus heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Classical Allusion and Bulletin add depth to the threat, making this a genuinely competitive Class 3 heat. That said, a horse travelling through a campaign on an upward curve often outperforms a static number, and Son Of Man's condition looks sharper than those ahead of him on paper. **Son Of Man** is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Forever Penywern
Edward Greatrex · Warren Greatrex · 4yo
Top-rated of 12
score 66.0 · +2.5 clear of next best (63.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight94very strongLast 6: 3-2-1-1-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong38d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 86
- Trainer20% weight50small sample (n=5)Warren Greatrex: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.21
High (9–12)
IV 0.83
Today: Kokbastau (draw 7) and Galaxy Star (draw 8) get the bias; Forever Penywern (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Roger Varian · draw 7 3yo · C · b | 631 | 88 | 63.5 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Harry Davies · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 32434 | 87 | 48.4 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 32111 | 86 | 66.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: George Baker · draw 12 4yo · G · bp | 24518 | 75 | 43.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Ross Burdon · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 110254 | 74 | 43.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 1250 | 83 | 48.6 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 4 4yo · G · gr | 50131 | 87 | 51.8 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Alan King · draw 8 4yo · F · b | 146 | 86 | 49.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: David Egan · T: Jim Boyle · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 351230 | 84 | 44.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 10 | 9 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ian Williams · draw 11 6yo · G · b | 85906 | 77 | 43.2 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 11 | 1 | J: Jason Watson · T: George Baker · draw 6 7yo · G · cht | 6008 | 88 | 36.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 12 | 12 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 10 6yo · G · bh | 51210 | 73 | 44.4 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Forever Penywern) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Kokbastau (GB) (2.10), 2. Bulletin (IRE) (4.00), 3. Forever Penywern (GB) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 36.38s.
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