18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

15:30 Salisbury

British Stallion Studs EBF Stonehenge Stakes (Listed Race)

1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £31,190 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Quest For Stars · No. 4 · best 7/4·2.80 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (79.5) in the field, 16.3 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 11% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Each-way62.8/100 rating
Dandyman Dan
13.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Quest For Stars

Connor Planas · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

79.5/100
+16.3 vs next best (63.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    93very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 10/27 winners last 14d (37%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    62average
    OR 93
MarketBest price 2.80 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Salisbury 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.89
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.16
High (7–8)
IV 0.98

Today: Dandyman Dan (draw 6) and Firehorse (draw 5) get the bias; Velociraptor (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Connor Planas · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 8 · combo 3/17 (18%)
2yo · C · bGoing 2/2Only rideOnly runner
11
9379.59/4·3.152.8·2.80
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7 · combo 17/87 (20%)
2yo · F · bGoing 1/2
2221
9163.211/4·3.783.4·3.40
Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Oliver Cole · draw 6
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
15943
9662.812/1·13.8512/1·13.00
Bet365 · -6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1 · combo 4/40 (10%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
31
8759.312/1·13.8515·16.00
SmarketsSBK · +16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 · combo 12/64 (19%)
2yo · C · chGoing 1/3Only ride
4431
9158.617/2·9.4415/2·8.50
Bet365 · -10% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Tom Marquand · T: S Woods · draw 5 · combo 1/9 (11%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
15
9452.012/1·13.8514·15.00
SmarketsSBK · +8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Callum Shepherd · T: David Evans · draw 4
2yo · G · chOnly pairing
1530
8345.022/1·23.9225·26.00
SmarketsSBK · +9% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 2 · combo 7/44 (16%)
2yo · C · brOnly rideOnly runner
1
39.518/1·18.8816/1·17.00
Bet365 · -10% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 26% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British Stallion Studs EBF Stonehenge Stakes (Listed Race)?

The British Stallion Studs EBF Stonehenge Stakes (Listed Race) is off at 15:30 on 12 August 2026 at Salisbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:30 Salisbury?

1m, Class 1, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:30 Salisbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:30 Salisbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Quest For Stars (score 79.5, best price 2.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:30 Salisbury?

The market favourite is Quest For Stars at a best price of 2.80.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Scommessa Sicura heads this eight-runner Class 1 contest at Salisbury on good-to-firm ground as the standout performer on ratings, holding a three-pound edge over Dandyman Dan and a clear ten pounds or more over the remainder of the field. That margin over the chasing pack is substantial enough to absorb a small step back in form, and over this mile trip on quick ground she looks ideally placed to assert. Dandyman Dan represents the most credible threat alongside Firehorse and Quest For Stars, but none of the three can match her on the figures we hold. **Scommessa Sicura** is our selection.

Racing Post pick: Scommessa Sicura

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org