Who won the 16:30 Salisbury on 12 August 2026?
On Message (GB) won the 16:30 Salisbury at SP 15.00. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by Ralph Beckett.
16:30 Salisbury
British Stallion Studs EBF Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £39,697 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stOn Message (GB)Hector Crouch·Ralph Beckett14/1·15.00SP
- 2ndMiss Scott (IRE)Oisin Murphy·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 1 length13/8J·2.62SP
- 3rdFelicitas (GB)Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker·beaten 3 lengths13/8J·2.62SP
Race time
2m 6.08s
Race time recorded.
In-running (On Message (GB))
“Set the pace from the start - urged forward approaching 2f out - eased left under pressure inside final furlong - edged right in the closing stages but kept finding more - always in command to score”
AI top-rated Regal Charm (score 77.5) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Regal Charm
Regal Charm heads this seven-runner field on a ten-furlong trip at Salisbury, narrowly ahead of Alla Stella and On Message on our ratings, and she has the profile of a filly capable of handling good-to-firm ground at this level. Alla Stella and On Message represent the stiffest opposition and both will need to be respected, while Felicitas, five pounds further back, cannot be entirely dismissed at Class 1 level. The slight edge in quality points to our selection holding on, though the race looks genuinely competitive among the top three. **Regal Charm** is the pick.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Regal Charm
Rob Hornby · Henry Candy · 4yo
Top-rated of 7
score 77.5 · +11.7 clear of next best (65.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=5)Henry Candy: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 3-0-2-1-2
- Ratings50% weight66strongOR 99
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Salisbury 1m2f
full course data →Strong: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.39).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.74
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.87
High (6–7)
IV 1.39
Today: Miss Scott (draw 6) and Annastarzy (draw 7) get the bias; Regal Charm (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 62 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 11374 | 99 | 60.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 121 | 92 | 64.7 | 13/8J·2.62 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 1127 | 103 | 65.7 | 13/8J·2.62 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 3 4yo · F · gr | 36522 | 99 | 60.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 3yo · F · ch | 481116 | 88 | 59.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Henry Candy · draw 1 4yo · F · b | 30212 | 99 | 77.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Archie Watson · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 21059 | 86 | 42.9 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Salisbury?
No — the AI top pick (Regal Charm) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Salisbury?
Top finishers: 1. On Message (GB) (15.00), 2. Miss Scott (IRE) (2.62), 3. Felicitas (GB) (2.62).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Salisbury?
The winning time was 2m 6.08s.
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