16:30 Salisbury

British Stallion Studs EBF Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £39,697 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Regal Charm · No. 3 · best 17/2·9.60 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (77.5) in the field, 12.2 clear of the next best. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way77.5/100 rating

Regal Charm

9.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Regal Charm

Rob Hornby · Henry Candy · 4yo

77.5/100

+12.2 vs next best (65.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Henry Candy: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%)
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
19d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
72strong
Last 6: 3-0-2-1-2
Ratings50% weight
66strong
OR 99

MarketBest price 9.60 (Betfair Exchange) — 3rd pick of 7 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
3Regal Charm 4Annastarzy
Prominent(1)
7On Message
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
2Goldilocks Cen
Unknown(3)
1Alla Stella 5Felicitas 6Miss Scott

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Salisbury 1m2f

full course data →

Strong: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.39).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.74

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.87

High (6–7)

IV 1.39

Today: Miss Scott (draw 6) and Annastarzy (draw 7) get the bias; Regal Charm (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 62 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Regal CharmPick J: Rob Hornby · T: Henry Candy · draw 1 · combo 1/6 (17%) 4yo · F · bC&DOnly runner	30212	9-04	99	—	—	77.5	17/2·9.49	9.6·9.60 Betfair Exchange All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60 SmarketsSBK8·9.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00BestOdds7/1·8.007Bet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 CopyBet7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 PricedUp Bet13/2·7.50 BetAhoy13/2·7.50Octobet13/2·7.50
5	Felicitas J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 5 · combo 19/117 (16%) 3yo · F · ch	1127	8-10	103	—	—	65.2	9/4·3.26	2.86·2.86 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.86·2.86 Bet3657/4·2.75 William Hill7/4·2.75 Coral7/4·2.75 Betfred7/4·2.75 Boyle Sports7/4·2.75 Ladbrokes7/4·2.75 Unibet7/4·2.75 BetTom7/4·2.75 Bet Victor7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75talkSPORT BET7/4·2.75 BetWright7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75 Betano7/4·2.75 Dragon Bet7/4·2.75 CopyBet7/4·2.75 BetAhoy7/4·2.75 Spreadex7/4·2.75Octobet7/4·2.75BresBet7/4·2.75BestOdds7/4·2.75Midnite7/4·2.75 SportingIndex7/4·2.75 Quinn Bet7/4·2.75 7Bet7/4·2.75 Star Sports7/4·2.75 PricedUp Bet13/8·2.63 SmarketsSBK1.62·2.62
6	Miss Scott J: Oisin Murphy · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 6 · combo 0/16 (0%) 3yo · F · bDOnly runner	121	8-10	92	—	—	63.7	11/4·3.86	9/4·3.25 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3659/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 talkSPORT BET9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 BresBet9/4·3.25BestOdds9/4·3.257Bet9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Betfair Exchange3.2·3.20 CopyBet85/40·3.13 BetTom2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 BetAhoy2/1·3.00Octobet2/1·3.00PricedUp Bet2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 SmarketsSBK2·3.00 Unibet15/8·2.88
1	Alla Stella J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 3 · combo 11/61 (18%) 4yo · F · gr	36522	9-04	99	—	—	60.4	6/1·7.12	9.8·9.80 Betfair Exchange · +38% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80 SmarketsSBK8·9.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 CopyBet5/1·6.00 BetAhoy5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00Octobet5/1·6.00BresBet5/1·6.00BestOdds5/1·6.007Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 PricedUp Bet9/2·5.50
4	Annastarzy J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 · combo 9/69 (13%) 3yo · F · chOnly pairing	481116	8-10	88	—	—	59.5	14/1·14.24	12/1·13.00 Bet365 · -9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet36512/1·13.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00BestOdds11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 BetAhoy10/1·11.00Octobet10/1·11.00Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 CopyBet10/1·11.00 PricedUp Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10·11.00 Betfair Exchange9.4·9.40
7	On Message J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 · combo 13/81 (16%) 3yo · F · b	11374	8-10	99	—	—	58.2	10/1·10.68	11·11.00 Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange11·11.00 SmarketsSBK9·10.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 CopyBet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00talkSPORT BET8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 BetAhoy8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00Octobet8/1·9.00BresBet8/1·9.00BestOdds8/1·9.007Bet8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 PricedUp Bet15/2·8.50
2	Goldilocks Cen J: Tom Marquand · T: Archie Watson · draw 2 · combo 0/5 (0%) 4yo · F · bOnly runner	21059	9-04	86	—	—	44.9	40/1·40.35	45·46.00 SmarketsSBK · +14% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK45·46.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 BetAhoy33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00Octobet33/1·34.00BresBet33/1·34.00BestOdds33/1·34.00Star Sports33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 CopyBet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00PricedUp Bet28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 19% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British Stallion Studs EBF Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)?

The British Stallion Studs EBF Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) is off at 16:30 on 12 August 2026 at Salisbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:30 Salisbury?

1m2f, Class 1, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:30 Salisbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:30 Salisbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Regal Charm (score 77.5, best price 9.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:30 Salisbury?

The market favourite is Felicitas at a best price of 2.86. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Regal Charm.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Regal Charm heads this seven-runner field on a ten-furlong trip at Salisbury, narrowly ahead of Alla Stella and On Message on our ratings, and she has the profile of a filly capable of handling good-to-firm ground at this level. Alla Stella and On Message represent the stiffest opposition and both will need to be respected, while Felicitas, five pounds further back, cannot be entirely dismissed at Class 1 level. The slight edge in quality points to our selection holding on, though the race looks genuinely competitive among the top three. **Regal Charm** is the pick.

Racing Post pick: Regal Charm

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org