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16:10 Newbury

Highclere Horse Feeds EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £8,100 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 32.5 · +2.3 clear of next best · best 10/3·4.33
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Isabella De Vega

Oisin Murphy · Ed Walker · 2yo

Top-rated of 4
score 32.5 · +2.3 clear of next best (30.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Ed Walker: 9/42 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 4.33 (PricedUp Bet) · 2nd in the market of 4.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.99
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.16
High (5–5)
IV 0.86

Today: Angel Of Desire (draw 4) gets the bias; Art Of Life (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.HorseFormORAIBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Ed Walker · draw 1
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
3
32.510/3·4.33
PricedUp Bet
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Joe Leavy · T: Clive Cox · draw 5
2yo · F · bOnly runner
62
30.26.2·6.20
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 2 · combo 15/114 (13%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
3
29.01.76·1.76
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 4
2yo · F · bOnly runner
15.028·28.00
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
Al SamsamaNon-runner
J: William Buick · T: Richard Hughes · draw 3
2yo · F · b
1
Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Highclere Horse Feeds EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Highclere Horse Feeds EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 16:10 on 14 August 2026 at Newbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:10 Newbury?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 4 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:10 Newbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:10 Newbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Isabella De Vega (score 32.5, best price 4.33). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:10 Newbury?

The market favourite is Sweetwonderfulyou at a best price of 1.76. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Isabella De Vega.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org