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Racing TV Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £10,308 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 69.7 · +10.8 clear of next best · best 11/1·12.00
Best value vs consensus
9.4·9.40 Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair (consensus 8.27)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way69.7/100 rating
Brocklesby Bill
12.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Tuscan HillsDiffers from our pick

Tuscan Hills arrives here on a progressive profile that sets him apart from rivals rated narrowly ahead on paper, and the straight mile at Newmarket on good to firm ground looks a fair test for a horse still finding improvement. Croupier holds a five-pound advantage in the ratings and must be respected as the chief danger, with Storm Star and Hickory also capable of making their superior figures count if the form holds. The confidence is modest given the quality ranged against our selection, but the upward curve in Tuscan Hills' work is the compelling argument for siding with him here. Tuscan Hills is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Brocklesby Bill

Charlie Tucker(7) · Kathy Turner · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 69.7 · +10.8 clear of next best (58.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Kathy Turner: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    74strong
    Last 6: 0-1-2-4-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85
MarketBest price 12.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 8th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Kathy Turner · draw 9
3yo · G · bhDGoing 2/3Only rideOnly runner
01241
8569.711/1·11.8112·12.00
Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 5 · combo 2/44 (5%)
8yo · G · bpClass dropDGoing 1/4Only rideOnly runner
06061
9558.99/1·10.048.8·8.80
Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Tom Clover · draw 10
4yo · G · bOnly runner
04405
9156.38/1·8.868·8.00
Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 8
4yo · G · bOnly runner
411250
8855.417/2·9.458.8·8.80
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7 · combo 2/7 (29%)
5yo · G · chClass dropOnly pairing
66020
9554.68/1·8.8613/2·7.50
talkSPORT BET · -15% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
10
6yo · G · bOnly runner
09934
7851.120/1·20.0718/1·19.00
PricedUp Bet · -5% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Rob Hornby · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3
4yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner
60055
9350.911/2·6.496.2·6.20
Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 4
7yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing
310037
9046.214/1·15.3519.5·19.50
Betfair Exchange · +27% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 1 · combo 5/27 (19%)
4yo · G · bClass drop
45015
8944.910/1·10.6310·10.00
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
7yo · G · bOnly runner
20903
8841.615/2·8.279.4·9.40
Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing TV Handicap Stakes?

The Racing TV Handicap Stakes is off at 19:37 on 14 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:37 Newmarket (July)?

1m, Class 3, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:37 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:37 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Brocklesby Bill (score 69.7, best price 12.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:37 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Tuscan Hills at a best price of 6.20. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Brocklesby Bill.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org