Who won the 19:50 Thirsk on 14 August 2026?
Military Leader (GB) won the 19:50 Thirsk at SP 2.88. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Phillip Makin.
19:50 Thirsk
Malton Marquees Racing Through The Summer Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 15 runners · £3,926 · Friday, 14 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 15thRace report
- 1stMilitary Leader (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Phillip Makin15/8F·2.88SP
- 2ndGreen Pursuit (IRE)Dale Swift·Seb Spencer·beaten 4 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdDonna Nook (GB)Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara·beaten .5 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
1m 38.19s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Military Leader (GB))
“Wide in the opening stages before slotting into midfield after 3f - travelling easily made ground on the outer 3f out - asserted over 1f out and forged ahead - ran on to score convincingly”
AI top-rated Jesmond Dawn (score 52.8) finished 15th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Green Pursuit
Green Pursuit holds a clear advantage over this Class 5 field at Thirsk over eight furlongs on good ground, rated narrowly ahead of the chasing pack and looking the most accomplished runner in the line-up. Donna Nook, Bloodsweatandtyres and Harswell Ruby represent the chief dangers and cannot be dismissed lightly given how closely matched they are with one another, but none quite bridges the gap to the selection. With conditions appearing to suit and the rating edge there to be exploited, Green Pursuit is the one to be on.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Jesmond Dawn
Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer · 5yo
Top-rated of 15
score 52.8 · +0.4 clear of next best (52.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight55averageLast 6: 7-2-3-5-1-5
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 70
- Trainer20% weight43small sample (n=6)Grant Tuer: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Thirsk 1m
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–5)
IV 0.82
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.04
High (11–15)
IV 1.16
Today: Donna Nook (draw 14) and Military Leader (draw 15) get the bias; Jesmond Dawn (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Phillip Makin · draw 15 5yo · G · bb | 113222 | 73 | 51.0 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 12 4yo · G · btp | 00535 | 71 | 43.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 14 4yo · F · btv | 941444 | 71 | 52.4 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 14 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 11 4yo · G · bh | 895128 | 61 | 50.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4 5yo · G · b | 236127 | 69 | 50.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 9 6yo · M · cht | 18672 | 72 | 39.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 6yo · G · bb | 121130 | 75 | 50.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 15 | J: Luke Morris · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 13 7yo · M · b | 51002 | 58 | 36.1 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 12 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 6yo · G · chtb | 886512 | 65 | 46.4 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 10 | 13 | J: William Pyle · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 8 5yo · G · bp | 001333 | 62 | 42.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 11 | 2 | J: P J McDonald · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 5 6yo · M · bt | 11250 | 75 | 46.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 12 | 3 | J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 10 4yo · G · bp | 31005 | 74 | 45.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 13 | 6 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 1 4yo · F · b | 645244 | 72 | 47.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 14 | 11 | J: Oisin Orr · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 050853 | 67 | 42.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 15 | 9 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 2 5yo · G · b | 723515 | 70 | 52.8 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:50 Thirsk?
No — the AI top pick (Jesmond Dawn) finished 15.
What were the placings in the 19:50 Thirsk?
Top finishers: 1. Military Leader (GB) (2.88), 2. Green Pursuit (IRE) (17.00), 3. Donna Nook (GB) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:50 Thirsk?
The winning time was 1m 38.19s.
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