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19:50 Thirsk

Malton Marquees Racing Through The Summer Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 15 runners · £3,926 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 52.8 · +0.4 clear of next best · best 25/1·26.00
Best value vs consensus
40/1·41.00 SmarketsSBK · +19% vs fair (consensus 34.46)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way52.4/100 rating
Donna Nook
12.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Green PursuitDiffers from our pick

Green Pursuit holds a clear advantage over this Class 5 field at Thirsk over eight furlongs on good ground, rated narrowly ahead of the chasing pack and looking the most accomplished runner in the line-up. Donna Nook, Bloodsweatandtyres and Harswell Ruby represent the chief dangers and cannot be dismissed lightly given how closely matched they are with one another, but none quite bridges the gap to the selection. With conditions appearing to suit and the rating edge there to be exploited, Green Pursuit is the one to be on.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Jesmond Dawn

Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer · 5yo

Top-rated of 15
score 52.8 · +0.4 clear of next best (52.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 7-2-3-5-1-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    Grant Tuer: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 26.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 11th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Thirsk 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.82
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.04
High (11–15)
IV 1.16

Today: Donna Nook (draw 14) and Military Leader (draw 15) get the bias; Jesmond Dawn (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 2 · combo 6/51 (12%)
5yo · G · bClass dropDGoing 1/4Only rideOnly runner
723515
7052.828/1·27.8325/1·26.00
SmarketsSBK · -7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 14 · combo 16/133 (12%)
4yo · F · btvDOnly runner
941444
7152.412/1·13.2512·12.00
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Phillip Makin · draw 15
5yo · G · bbClass dropOnly runner
113222
7351.011/4·3.642.92·2.92
Betfair Exchange · -20% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
10
J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4 · combo 2/39 (5%)
5yo · G · bClass dropDGoing 1/3Only ride
236127
6950.814/1·15.9013/1·14.00
SmarketsSBK · -12% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
14
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 11 · combo 6/83 (7%)
4yo · G · bhDOnly pairing
895128
6150.018/1·19.8822·22.00
Betfair Exchange · +11% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 · combo 4/36 (11%)
6yo · G · bbClass dropD
121130
7550.025/1·25.1829·29.00
Betfair Exchange · +15% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 1 · combo 4/24 (17%)
4yo · F · bOnly pairing
645244
7247.114/1·15.9012.5·12.50
Betfair Exchange · -21% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: P J McDonald · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 5
6yo · M · btClass dropOnly runner
11250
7546.712/1·12.5912.5·12.50
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
12
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 · combo 19/186 (10%)
6yo · G · chtbD
886512
6546.49/1·9.9410/1·11.00
SmarketsSBK · +11% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 10 · combo 3/63 (5%)
4yo · G · bpClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
31005
7445.633/1·34.4640/1·41.00
SmarketsSBK · +19% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 12 · combo 2/26 (8%)
4yo · G · btpOnly rideOnly runner
00535
7143.622/1·22.5319.5·19.50
Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
11
J: Oisin Orr · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 6
5yo · G · bOnly runner
050853
6742.125/1·25.1822·22.00
Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
13
J: William Pyle · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 8 · combo 1/6 (17%)
5yo · G · bpGoing 1/3Only runner
001333
6242.118/1·19.8816/1·17.00
SmarketsSBK · -14% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 9 · combo 6/60 (10%)
6yo · M · chtOnly rideOnly runner
18672
7239.428/1·30.4830·30.00
Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
15
J: Luke Morris · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 13
7yo · M · bOnly runner
51002
5836.140/1·45.0645/1·46.00
SmarketsSBK · +2% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Malton Marquees Racing Through The Summer Handicap Stakes?

The Malton Marquees Racing Through The Summer Handicap Stakes is off at 19:50 on 14 August 2026 at Thirsk (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:50 Thirsk?

1m, Class 5, Flat, 15 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:50 Thirsk?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:50 Thirsk?

The AI top-rated runner is Jesmond Dawn (score 52.8, best price 26.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:50 Thirsk?

The market favourite is Military Leader at a best price of 2.92. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Jesmond Dawn.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org