Who won the 16:15 Ayr on 10 August 2026?
Naturalia (GB) won the 16:15 Ayr at SP 4.00. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Donald Whillans.
← All racecards16:15
Ayr
Great BritainLadbrokes 'Free Rewards With Instant Spins' Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Monday, 10 August 2026
1m2f·Flat·Class 6·Good To Soft·12 runners·£3,664
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stNaturalia (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Donald Whillans3/1F·4.00SP
- 2ndRecobella (FR)Jack Nicholls·Philip Kirby·beaten 0.2 lengths13/2·7.50SP
- 3rdIdyllic (GB)Paula Muir·Wilf Storey·beaten .5 lengths5/1·6.00SP
Race time
2m 10.09s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Naturalia (GB))
“Tracked front group wide - hit front two out and driven on - shown the whip inside final furlong - edged clear late to prevail”
AI top-rated Lesrico (score 46.4) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.046.4/100 rating
Lesrico
5.50Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way46.4/100 rating
Lesrico
5.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Lesrico
Mark Winn · Lisa Williamson · 6yo
46.4/100
+0.9 vs next best (45.5)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong58d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight49below averageLast 6: 2-1-5-2-8
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight33weakLisa Williamson: 1/8 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 5.50 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 4 | 6yo · G · bh | 21528 | 10-02 | 65 | — | — | 46.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP | |
| 10 | 2 | 7 | 5yo · G · gr | 24178 | 10-01 | 64 | — | — | 36.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 1 | 3 | 10 | 5yo · M · b | 622244 | 9-13 | 62 | — | — | 42.3 | 3/1F·4.00 SP | |
| 11 | 4 | 9 | 4yo · G · bpFT P | 97398 | 9-13 | 62 | — | — | 33.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP | |
| 3 | 5 | 12 | 5yo · M · b | 66540 | 9-10 | 59 | — | — | 44.1 | 5/1·6.00 SP | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 6yo · M · b | 798543 | 9-10 | 59 | — | — | 38.9 | 4/1·5.00 SP | |
| 9 | 7 | 5 | 8yo · G · grb | 64854 | 9-08 | 57 | — | — | 45.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP | |
| 2 | 8 | 2 | 5yo · M · ch | 35251 | 9-07 | 56 | — | — | 40.1 | 13/2·7.50 SP | |
| 4 | 9 | 11 | 4yo · G · bt | 09959 | 9-06 | 55 | — | — | 36.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP | |
| PU | 10 | 1 | 7yo · M · b | 00607 | 9-06 | 55 | — | — | 24.6 | 125/1·126.00 SP | |
| 8 | 11 | 6 | 3yo · F · bbFT B | 69536 | 9-02 | 59 | — | — | 42.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP | |
| 6 | 12 | 8 | 3yo · G · bp | 54990 | 8-12 | 55 | — | — | 41.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Lesrico) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:15 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Naturalia (GB) (4.00), 2. Recobella (FR) (7.50), 3. Idyllic (GB) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Ayr?
The winning time was 2m 10.09s.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyLesrico heads this 12-runner Class 6 field at Ayr on good ground, rated narrowly ahead of the chasing pair Ravenscraig Castle and King Chaos, with She's Got Bottle a further threat in behind. The mile-and-a-quarter trip on good ground looks straightforward enough on paper, though in a competitive lower-tier heat the small edge in the ratings offers no guarantees. **Lesrico** is our selection, though this is a genuinely open contest.
Racing Post pick: Lesrico
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
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