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RacingAlpha

15:05 Doncaster

Meadowhall X Flannels Beauty Bar EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £7,020 · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Iwasjustsaying (GB)
    Jack Mitchell·Charlie Johnston
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Noble Prince (GB)AI top pick · 39.0
    Connor Planas·Charlie Appleby·beaten 2 lengths
    2/5F·1.40
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Son Of A Fish (GB)
    Paul Mulrennan·Richard Hannon·beaten 4.25 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 28.23s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Iwasjustsaying (GB))

Sluggish start - pulled hard early - settled towards the back - pressed into contention with the front group 2f out - moved through to the front inside final furlong - edged right for a stride then stuck on to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.40 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Noble Prince

Connor Planas · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 4
score 39.0 · +10.5 clear of next best (28.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 10/23 winners last 14d (43%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 4
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.52 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.10
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.92
High (5–6)
IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2
2yo · C · b
21.0
3/1·4.00
SP
24
J: Connor Planas · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 1
2yo · C · b
4
39.0
2/5F·1.40
SP
35
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3
2yo · C · ch
5
19.5
12/1·13.00
SP
43
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5
2yo · C · b
7
15.0
18/1·19.00
SP
J: Jack Gilligan · T: Marco Botti · draw 6
2yo · C · b
652
28.5
2yo · F · b
5
19.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:05 Doncaster on 15 August 2026?

Iwasjustsaying (GB) won the 15:05 Doncaster at SP 4.00. Ridden by Jack Mitchell. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Doncaster?

No — the AI top pick (Noble Prince) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:05 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Iwasjustsaying (GB) (4.00), 2. Noble Prince (GB) (1.40), 3. Son Of A Fish (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:05 Doncaster?

The winning time was 1m 28.23s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org