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RacingAlpha

14:20 Ripon

Racing For Tamara Ripon Hornblower EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners · £12,885 · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/6F·1.83
  1. 1st
    Rogue Jewel (IRE)AI top pick · 46.5
    Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell
    5/6F·1.83
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Does Mary Know (GB)
    Callum Hutchinson·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten 1.75 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Green Bay Dream (GB)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 2.75 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.17s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Rogue Jewel (IRE))

“Settled into second early - moved up with authority to hit the front a furlong out drifting slightly off a true line before opening daylight - margin narrowed late but always holding on to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Rogue Jewel

Daniel Tudhope · Edward Bethell · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 46.5 · +17.4 clear of next best (29.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Edward Bethell: 8/24 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 2.04 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ripon 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.94
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.15
High (5–5)
IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 162 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Rogue Jewel
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2
2yo · F · b
1
—46.5
5/6F·1.83
SP
22
Does Mary Know
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 4
2yo · C · b
6
—21.5
9/4·3.25
SP
33
Green Bay Dream
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1
2yo · C · b
2
—29.1
4/1·5.00
SP
41
Classy Jaguar
J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 3
2yo · G · b
78
—17.8
125/1·126.00
SP
54
Taj Mahal Palace
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
7
—17.5
20/1·21.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:20 Ripon on 15 August 2026?

Rogue Jewel (IRE) won the 14:20 Ripon at SP 1.83. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by Edward Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:20 Ripon?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Rogue Jewel, won the race (AI score 46.5).

What were the placings in the 14:20 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Rogue Jewel (IRE) (1.83), 2. Does Mary Know (GB) (3.25), 3. Green Bay Dream (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:20 Ripon?

The winning time was 1m 12.17s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org