18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

17:28 Cork

Ireland

OCS Recruitment Handicap

5f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €7,200 · Friday, 14 August 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 5 · score 49.4 · +4.2 clear of next best · best 7/1·7.80
Best value vs consensus
18·18.00 Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair (consensus 16.98)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way49.4/100 rating
Cashel Blue
7.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: AmerilisDiffers from our pick

Amerilis heads this 12-runner five-furlong contest at Cork on good ground holding a narrow edge over the chasing pack, sitting three pounds clear of Gonna Be Golden and five ahead of The Right One on our figures, though this is no foregone conclusion in a competitive sprint. Gonna Be Golden and The Right One represent the most credible threats, with Kiss Don't Tell also meriting respect as a runner who could outrun her rating on the day. The confidence is measured rather than absolute, but Amerilis holds the strongest case on paper and is taken to justify that advantage. The selection is Amerilis.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Cashel Blue

W J Lee · K J Condon · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 49.4 · +4.2 clear of next best (45.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 7-0-5-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    K J Condon: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 7.80 (Betfair Exchange) · 5th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.13
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.95
High (9–12)
IV 0.90

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 86 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
5
J: W J Lee · T: K J Condon · draw 12 · combo 3/25 (12%)
3yo · F · bDGoing 1/2Only runner
70513
6549.48/1·9.147.8·7.80
Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Sam Coen(5) · T: A Oliver · draw 6 · combo 1/8 (13%)
3yo · F · btOnly ride
0U0360
6645.29/1·10.458/1·9.00
SmarketsSBK · -14% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Gillian Scott · draw 5
3yo · F · btpOnly runner
49262
6741.015/2·8.496/1·7.00
Ladbrokes · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Megan Telford-Kelly(7) · T: W McCreery · draw 2 · combo 0/8 (0%)
3yo · F · bvOnly ride
708084
4840.07/1·7.836.6·6.60
Betfair Exchange · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Rodger Sweeney · draw 8
3yo · G · gOnly pairing
60850
5639.440/1·44.4045/1·46.00
SmarketsSBK · +4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 3 · combo 1/13 (8%)
3yo · F · bpDOnly runner
24010
6638.116/1·16.9818·18.00
Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 11 · combo 2/18 (11%)
3yo · F · b
052
6837.022/1·22.2018·18.00
Betfair Exchange · -19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Rebecca Parsons(10) · T: David Marnane · draw 7 · combo 1/6 (17%)
3yo · F · chOnly rideOnly runner
5869
6231.940/1·37.8750/1·51.00
SmarketsSBK · +35% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch · draw 1 · combo 1/5 (20%)
3yo · G · bpDGoing 1/5Only rideOnly runner
00617
5231.58/1·9.1413/2·7.50
Bet365 · -18% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 10 · combo 0/17 (0%)
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
01835
4830.825/1·27.4240/1·41.00
SmarketsSBK · +50% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 9 · combo 1/19 (5%)
3yo · F · bOnly runner
80760
5426.310/3·4.243/1·4.00
SmarketsSBK · -6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Rory Cleary · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 4 · combo 0/5 (0%)
3yo · F · btOnly runner
00900
5725.766/1·66.60125/1·126.00
SmarketsSBK · +89% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the OCS Recruitment Handicap?

The OCS Recruitment Handicap is off at 17:28 on 14 August 2026 at Cork (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:28 Cork?

5f, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:28 Cork?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:28 Cork?

The AI top-rated runner is Cashel Blue (score 49.4, best price 7.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:28 Cork?

The market favourite is Simmering Seas at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Cashel Blue.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org