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Next · 31m14:30Lingfield (AW)

14:45 Catterick

Off in 46m

Well-Earned Retirement Neal Kidd Nursery Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 17 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 56.0 · +9.0 clear of next best · best 11/1·12.00
Best value vs consensus
16.5·16.50 Matchbook · +16% vs fair (consensus 14.17)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 34 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way56.0/100 rating
Eevee Star
12.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Aura Of MelaniaDiffers from our pick

Aura Of Melania heads this Catterick Class 6 sprint on a rating narrowly ahead of Harry's Pop and Eevee Star, who are both two pounds behind and represent the chief threats alongside Cheeky Chesca, a pound further back, so the form advantage is real if modest and the six-furlong trip on good ground suits. The selection's hold on the field is slender enough that a career-best from either Harry's Pop or Eevee Star could overturn it, and confidence is accordingly tempered. On balance the ratings edge, however slim, points the same way, and the selection is Aura Of Melania.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Eevee Star

Oisin Orr · Edward Bethell · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 56.0 · +9.0 clear of next best (47.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Edward Bethell: 9/22 winners last 14d (41%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63
  • Form20% weight
    25weak
    Last 6: 3-5-5-8
MarketBest price 12.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 6th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Catterick 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.36
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.79
High (7–8)
IV 0.80

Today: Cheeky Chesca (draw 1) and Invicta Rose (draw 2) get the bias; Harry's Pop (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7 · combo 9/24 (38%)
2yo · F · ch
3558
6356.011/1·11.8112·12.00
Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair
All 34 books ▾
1
J: Sam James · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 5
2yo · G · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
74044
6547.07/2·4.434.2·4.20
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 34 books ▾
8
J: Joanna Mason · T: John Butler · draw 6
2yo · G · grClass dropOnly runner
657
5346.317/2·9.4510/1·11.00
PricedUp Bet · +16% vs fair
All 34 books ▾
7
J: P J McDonald · T: Tom Ward · draw 8
2yo · F · bpOnly runner
8662
5341.111/2·6.506.8·6.80
Matchbook · +5% vs fair
All 34 books ▾
2
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Roger Fell · draw 4 · combo 1/23 (4%)
2yo · F · chClass drop
64453
6339.99/2·5.315.1·5.10
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 34 books ▾
4
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 · combo 20/196 (10%)
2yo · F · bpClass drop
223779
6139.412/1·12.9912/1·13.00
PricedUp Bet
All 34 books ▾
6
J: Billy Garritty · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 2
2yo · F · chOnly runner
47656
5538.614/1·14.1716.5·16.50
Matchbook · +16% vs fair
All 34 books ▾
5
J: Shane Gray · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3
2yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner
796
5935.110/1·10.6310.5·10.50
Matchbook
All 34 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 34 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Well-Earned Retirement Neal Kidd Nursery Handicap Stakes?

The Well-Earned Retirement Neal Kidd Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 14:45 on 17 August 2026 at Catterick (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:45 Catterick?

6f, Class 6, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:45 Catterick?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:45 Catterick?

The AI top-rated runner is Eevee Star (score 56.0, best price 12.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:45 Catterick?

The market favourite is Harry's Pop at a best price of 4.20. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Eevee Star.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org