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Next · 9h 30m19:08Worcester

17:45 Roscommon

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

7½f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €10,800 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/1·5.00
  1. 1st
    Cashel Queen (IRE)AI top pick · 49.2
    Paddy Harnett·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Luca Brillante (IRE)
    Chris Hayes·D K Weld·beaten 0.3 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Eighteenth Smiles (IRE)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 2.5 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
1m 33.60s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Cashel Queen (IRE))

Sat just behind the pace - 5th at halfway - asked for effort with 2f left - moved into 2nd inside final furlong before getting up to score late

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way20.0/100 rating
Someday Somewhere
7.00Bet MGM

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Cashel Queen

Paddy Harnett(5) · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 12
score 49.2 · +4.5 clear of next best (44.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 3-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    20weak
    Donnacha Aidan O'Brien: 1/12 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketBest price 23.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 4th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 7½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.26).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.26
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.09
High (9–12)
IV 0.64

Today: Eighteenth Smiles (draw 3) and Someday Somewhere (draw 2) get the bias; Hypiradon (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 66 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
2yo · F · b
324
7549.2
4/1·5.00
SP
210
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 9
2yo · F · ch
67
13.8
8/1·9.00
SP
32
2yo · C · bp
55503
7044.7
17/2·9.50
SP
412
J: W J Lee · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 2
2yo · F · b
34
20.0
85/40F·3.12
SP
511
2yo · F · b
06
21.2
125/1·126.00
SP
61
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6
2yo · C · b
07
23.5
8/1·9.00
SP
76
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 4
2yo · C · bpFT P
96
16.6
7/1·8.00
SP
89
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 1
2yo · F · g
69
10.6
18/1·19.00
SP
95
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 10
2yo · C · ch
46
16.7
25/1·26.00
SP
108
2yo · F · bhFT H
90
12.4
66/1·67.00
SP
114
J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 7
2yo · C · b
63
32.3
6/1·7.00
SP
123
J: Rory Cleary · T: Kevin Thomas Coleman · draw 11
2yo · G · b
06
24.2
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:45 Roscommon on 18 August 2026?

Cashel Queen (IRE) won the 17:45 Roscommon at SP 5.00. Ridden by Paddy Harnett. Trained by Donnacha Aidan O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Roscommon?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Cashel Queen, won the race (AI score 49.2).

What were the placings in the 17:45 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Cashel Queen (IRE) (5.00), 2. Luca Brillante (IRE) (9.00), 3. Eighteenth Smiles (IRE) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:45 Roscommon?

The winning time was 1m 33.60s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org