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18:15 Roscommon

Ireland

Irish EBF Auction Series Race

7½f · Flat · Good · 8 runners · €16,199 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Emotional Hedging (IRE)
    Gary Carroll·Gavin Cromwell
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Seven Nation Army (GER)AI top pick · 57.7
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten .5 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Oristown Boy (IRE)
    Rory Mulligan·Joseph Anthony Murray·beaten .75 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 33.29s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Emotional Hedging (IRE))

“Settled midpack early - dropped back near halfway - urged into effort entering the straight - asked for more 2f out - moved through on the outside to third with a furlong left - stayed on to hit the front late and win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way57.7/100 rating
Seven Nation Army
7.00Bet MGM

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Lars Soldier

The mile trip on a sound surface looks entirely suitable, and the rating edge over the rest of the field is notable enough to command respect. Lars Soldier is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Seven Nation Army

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 57.7 · +6.7 clear of next best (51.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    61average
    OR 92 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 8-8-6-2-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 5/52 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 7.00 (Bet MGM) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 7½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.26).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.26
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.09
High (7–9)
IV 0.64

Today: Sword Of State (draw 3) and Grit And Glory (draw 2) get the bias; Oristown Boy (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 66 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Emotional Hedging
J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 4
2yo · G · b
2
—37.1
15/2·8.50
SP
21
Seven Nation Army
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 5
2yo · G · ch
88621
9257.7
9/4F·3.25
SP
35
Oristown Boy
J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Joseph Anthony Murray · draw 8
2yo · G · b
041
8451.0
7/2·4.50
SP
47
Grit And Glory
J: Luke McAteer · T: Jack Foley · draw 2
2yo · C · b
0
—21.0
40/1·41.00
SP
54
Lars Soldier
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 7
2yo · G · b
415342
8450.1
7/1·8.00
SP
69
Gabby Hayes
J: Chris Hayes · T: Noel Meade · draw 1
2yo · G · b
9
—11.2
50/1·51.00
SP
73
Noble Agenda
J: Ben Coen · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 6
2yo · C · b
1
—41.0
7/1·8.00
SP
88
Sword Of State
J: Rory Cleary · T: Brendan W Duke · draw 3
2yo · F · b
71
—36.8
3/1·4.00
SP
——
Green Dreamer
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 9
2yo · C · b
51
—30.3—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:15 Roscommon on 18 August 2026?

Emotional Hedging (IRE) won the 18:15 Roscommon at SP 8.50. Ridden by Gary Carroll. Trained by Gavin Cromwell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:15 Roscommon?

No — the AI top pick (Seven Nation Army) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:15 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Emotional Hedging (IRE) (8.50), 2. Seven Nation Army (GER) (3.25), 3. Oristown Boy (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:15 Roscommon?

The winning time was 1m 33.29s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org