Who won the 15:13 Carlisle on 19 August 2026?
April Diamond (IRE) won the 15:13 Carlisle at SP 9.50. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Iain Jardine.
15:13 Carlisle
North Lakes Energy - Harry Doyle Memorial Maiden Handicap Stakes (Div I)
7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £3,402 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stApril Diamond (IRE)Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine17/2·9.50SP
- 2ndZous Juice (IRE)Billy Garritty·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 0.1 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdRenewable Dream (GB)Gianluca Sanna·John Wainwright·beaten 3.5 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
1m 29.45s
Race time recorded.
In-running (April Diamond (IRE))
“Held up towards the back - driven up before halfway - made progress on the left side from 2f out - into second a furlong out - closed on the front-runner inside the final 110yds to prevail right on the line”
AI top-rated Runninman (score 49.0) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 40.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Fate's Gambit
Fate's Gambit heads this Class 6 seven-furlong contest at Carlisle on good ground carrying the strongest credentials in the field, sitting narrowly ahead of the chasing pack on form and holding a modest edge over the principal dangers. Why Because and Renewable Dream are the most likely to test our selection, both rated 64 and capable of making this competitive, while Zous Juice at 63 warrants respect in a race where the margins are not enormous. That said, Fate's Gambit's superiority over this field looks genuine enough to see him through, and he is the pick here.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Runninman
Aiden Brookes · Donald Whillans · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 49.0 · +2.3 clear of next best (46.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=1)Donald Whillans: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight30weakOR 45
- Form20% weight20weakLast 6: 3-6-8-7-4-0
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.00
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.83
High (8–10)
IV 1.16
Today: Renewable Dream (draw 9) and Fate's Gambit (draw 8) get the bias; Runninman (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 6 5yo · M · b | 765206 | 52 | 37.8 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 10 5yo · G · b | 9490 | 54 | 33.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Gianluca Sanna(5) · T: John Wainwright · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 39098 | 59 | 46.6 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 355093 | 60 | 42.2 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 1 4yo · F · chh | 56475 | 60 | 35.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Aiden Brookes · T: Donald Whillans · draw 5 3yo · G · bp | 368740 | 45 | 49.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 3yo · G · bp | 242404 | 48 | 37.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 3 4yo · F · bFirst after wind op | 09948 | 55 | 28.3 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: David Allan · T: Linda Perratt · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 864 | 53 | 39.8 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Faye McManoman · T: Brian Rothwell · draw 2 6yo · M · btb | 750607 | 45 | 24.3 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:13 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Runninman) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 15:13 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. April Diamond (IRE) (9.50), 2. Zous Juice (IRE) (5.50), 3. Renewable Dream (GB) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:13 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 29.45s.
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