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Next · 5h 13m19:08Worcester

14:25 York

Off in 30m

Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 10 runners · £99,242 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 7 · score 75.1 · +7.6 clear of next best · best 7/4·2.74
Best value vs consensus
23·23.00 Smarkets · +9% vs fair (consensus 21.16)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way61.3/100 rating
Alfred Wallace
10.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: ConfuciusDiffers from our pick

Confucius heads this eleven-runner Class 1 at York on a rating narrowly ahead of Haffner, with Big Cigar and Trean also capable of making their presence felt on the seven-furlong good ground, so this looks a genuinely competitive heat at the top end. The confidence level here is modest, and any of those three dangers could overturn the verdict on the day. That said, Confucius holds the strongest credentials in the field and is taken to deliver on that advantage. Confucius is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Haffner

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 75.1 · +7.6 clear of next best (67.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    72strong
    OR 108 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    60average
    A P O'Brien: 9/37 winners last 14d (24%)
MarketBest price 2.74 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 5 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 7f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.22
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.06
High (9–11)
IV 0.71

Today: Vega King (draw 3) and Stardom Glory (draw 4) get the bias; Haffner (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
7
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11 · combo 29/86 (34%)
2yo · C · bD
212
10875.12/1·3.112.74·2.74
Matchbook · -12% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
11
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3 · combo 25/100 (25%)
2yo · C · bDOnly pairing
41
9267.520/1·21.1623·23.00
Smarkets · +9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 10 · combo 12/88 (14%)
2yo · C · br
21633
10266.216/1·16.1815·15.00
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
All 21 books ▾
3
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 5 · combo 9/55 (16%)
2yo · C · chGoing 1/2
2318
8364.9100/1·125.70120·120.00
Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 · combo 12/77 (16%)
2yo · C · bCOnly pairing
1517
9462.240/1·40.4540/1·41.00
Star Sports
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 · combo 20/131 (15%)
2yo · C · chD
51051
10561.310/1·11.2010.5·10.50
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
9
J: James Doyle · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 4 · combo 1/6 (17%)
2yo · C · chGoing 1/3
221
8958.014/1·14.9314·14.00
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
J: Hector Crouch · T: Archie Watson · draw 2
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
102
8950.880/1·83.3880·80.00
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Neil Callan · T: Tom Clover · draw 1 · combo 4/8 (50%)
2yo · C · bDOnly runner
51
36.316/1·16.1815.5·15.50
Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6 · combo 19/96 (20%)
2yo · C · b
1
34.55/1·6.226·6.00
Smarkets · -4% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
10
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 7 · combo 10/66 (15%)
2yo · C · bhDOnly rideOnly runner
301
26.06/1·6.846.6·6.60
Smarkets · -4% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 20–30 bookmakers per horse with the 25% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3)?

The Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) is off at 14:25 on 19 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:25 York?

7f, Class 1, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:25 York?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:25 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Haffner (score 75.1, best price 2.74). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:25 York?

The market favourite is Haffner at a best price of 2.74.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org