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RacingAlpha

16:45 York

British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 14 runners · £51,540 · Friday, 21 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Benjamin Hornigold (GB)
    Colin Keane·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dover Street (IRE)
    Pat Dobbs·Richard Hannon·beaten 2 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sole Ambition (GB)
    Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker·beaten 1 length
    33/1·34.00
    SP
Race time
1m 28.89s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Benjamin Hornigold (GB))

“Sluggish start - settled towards back - made smooth progress before 2f out - pushed along and closed on front group inside final 2f - hit front approaching last furlong and edged ahead - stayed on well to score”

AI top-rated Launch Sequence (score 61.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Launch Sequence

James Doyle · K. R. Burke · 2yo

Top-rated of 14
score 61.3 · +27.8 clear of next best (33.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    K. R. Burke: 8/37 winners last 14d (22%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 7f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.22
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.06
High (11–15)
IV 0.71

Today: Lancaster Tower (draw 2) and Pete's Angel (draw 3) get the bias; Launch Sequence (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
2yo · C · b
——22.5
16/1·17.00
SP
22
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4
2yo · C · ch
5
—18.0
40/1·41.00
SP
313
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 9
2yo · C · b
3
—24.0
33/1·34.00
SP
49
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 13
2yo · C · btFT T
——23.5
22/1·23.00
SP
54
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1
2yo · C · b
——18.0
80/1·81.00
SP
66
J: James Doyle · T: K. R. Burke · draw 11
2yo · C · b
33
8561.3
9/2·5.50
SP
710
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 10
2yo · C · baybrownpFT P
23
—32.7
13/8F·2.62
SP
85
2yo · C · b
3
—33.5
5/2·3.50
SP
98
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 8
2yo · G · b
——19.0
125/1·126.00
SP
103
J: Tom Marquand · T: Charles Hills · draw 6
2yo · C · b
35
—26.0
150/1·151.00
SP
1114
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 15
2yo · C · b
3
—25.0
8/1·9.00
SP
127
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 14
2yo · C · b
——17.0
25/1·26.00
SP
1311
2yo · C · gr
——24.0
100/1·101.00
SP
1415
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
——21.5
50/1·51.00
SP
——
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Barry Brennan · draw 7
2yo · G · ch
——31.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 York on 21 August 2026?

Benjamin Hornigold (GB) won the 16:45 York at SP 17.00. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 York?

No — the AI top pick (Launch Sequence) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:45 York?

Top finishers: 1. Benjamin Hornigold (GB) (17.00), 2. Dover Street (IRE) (41.00), 3. Sole Ambition (GB) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 York?

The winning time was 1m 28.89s.

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