16:45 York

British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 15 runners · £51,540 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (15 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Launch Sequence

No. 6 · score 62.8 · +29.6 clear of next best · best 7/1·8.20

Best value vs consensus

The Thinking Man

80·80.00 Smarkets · +19% vs fair (consensus 67.38)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way62.8/100 rating

Launch Sequence

8.20Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Launch Sequence

James Doyle · K. R. Burke · 2yo

Top-rated of 15

score 62.8 · +29.6 clear of next best (33.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
63average
K. R. Burke: 8/32 winners last 14d (25%)
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 3-3
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 8.20 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(1)
10Oklahoma
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
3Galipi
Unknown(13)
1Benjamin Hornigold 2Dover Street 4Game Character 5Lancaster Tower 6Launch Sequence 7Magwitch 8Master Celeritas 9My Remas 11Pete's Angel 12Rossbeigh 13Sole Ambition 14Speyside 15The Thinking Man

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 7f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.22

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.06

High (11–15)

IV 0.71

Today: Lancaster Tower (draw 2) and Pete's Angel (draw 3) get the bias; Launch Sequence (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	Launch SequencePick J: James Doyle · T: K. R. Burke · draw 11 · combo 4/18 (22%) 2yo · C · b	33	9-07	85	—	—	62.8	7/1·7.93	8.2·8.20 Smarkets · +3% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets8.2·8.20Betfair Exchange8·8.00 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50Matchbook7.4·7.40Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 7Bet9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00
10	Oklahoma J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 10 · combo 31/91 (34%) 2yo · C · baybrownpFT P	23	9-07	—	—	—	33.2	11/4·3.63	15/8·2.88 Bet365 · -21% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet36515/8·2.88 Betfair Exchange2.88·2.88 Coral15/8·2.88 Ladbrokes15/8·2.88Matchbook2.88·2.88Smarkets2.86·2.867Bet7/4·2.75 Bet Victor7/4·2.75 BetMGM7/4·2.75 BetTom7/4·2.75 BetWright7/4·2.75 Betano7/4·2.75 Betfred7/4·2.75 Boyle Sports7/4·2.75 BresBet7/4·2.75 Dragon Bet7/4·2.75 Midnite7/4·2.75 Quinn Bet7/4·2.75 SmarketsSBK7/4·2.75 SportingIndex7/4·2.75 Spreadex7/4·2.75 Star Sports7/4·2.75 Unibet7/4·2.75 William Hill7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75Paddy Power7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet13/8·2.63Virgin Bet13/8·2.63
5	Lancaster Tower J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 · combo 9/36 (25%) 2yo · C · b	3	9-07	—	—	—	32.0	10/3·4.29	5/2·3.50 talkSPORT BET · -18% vs fair All 29 books ▾ talkSPORT BET5/2·3.50 Betfair Exchange3.45·3.45 BetMGM12/5·3.40Matchbook3.4·3.40Smarkets3.3·3.307Bet9/4·3.25 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 BresBet9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 Paddy Power9/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00
12	Rossbeigh J: Edward Greatrex · T: Barry Brennan · draw 7 2yo · G · chOnly runner	—	9-07	—	—	—	31.5	150/1·133.44	130·130.00 Matchbook · -3% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook130·130.00BetMGM125/1·126.00 talkSPORT BET125/1·126.00 Paddy Power100/1·101.00 7Bet100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Bet365100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 BresBet100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Betfair Exchange65·65.00Smarkets60·60.00SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00
3	Galipi J: Tom Marquand · T: Charles Hills · draw 6 · combo 0/7 (0%) 2yo · C · bOnly runner	35	9-07	—	—	—	25.5	150/1·133.44	140·140.00 Smarkets · +5% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets140·140.00SmarketsSBK125/1·126.00Matchbook110·110.007Bet100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 BresBet100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 talkSPORT BET100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00BetMGM66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange55·55.00 Bet36550/1·51.00
11	Pete's Angel J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 3 · combo 1/21 (5%) 2yo · C · grOnly pairing	—	9-07	—	—	—	25.5	50/1·54.17	75·75.00 Smarkets · +39% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets75·75.00SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00Matchbook50·50.00Bet Victor40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 talkSPORT BET40/1·41.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Exchange23·23.00
13	Sole Ambition J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 9 · combo 20/136 (15%) 2yo · C · b	3	9-07	—	—	—	25.5	40/1·44.92	40/1·41.00 talkSPORT BET · -9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ talkSPORT BET40/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Smarkets29·29.00Matchbook27·27.00Betfair Exchange26·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00
15	The Thinking Man J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 5 · combo 9/58 (16%) 2yo · C · ch	—	9-07	—	—	—	25.0	66/1·67.38	80·80.00 Smarkets · +19% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets80·80.00SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00William Hill50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 BresBet50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Bet36540/1·41.00Matchbook36·36.00Betfair Exchange21·21.00
14	Speyside J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 15 · combo 7/39 (18%) 2yo · C · b	3	9-07	—	—	—	24.0	16/1·17.18	15.5·15.50 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50Matchbook15·15.00Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.507Bet11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BetMGM10/1·11.00
9	My Remas J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 13 · combo 9/51 (18%) 2yo · C · btFT T	—	9-07	—	—	—	21.5	25/1·25.10	22/1·23.00 William Hill · -8% vs fair All 29 books ▾ William Hill22/1·23.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange19·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00Matchbook18.5·18.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Smarkets17·17.00
1	Benjamin Hornigold J: Colin Keane · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 12 2yo · C · bOnly runner	—	9-07	—	—	—	21.0	22/1·22.46	36·36.00 Betfair Exchange · +60% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange36·36.00Matchbook34·34.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00Smarkets34·34.00William Hill18/1·19.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.007Bet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Bet36512/1·13.00
2	Dover Street J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4 · combo 12/73 (16%) 2yo · C · ch	5	9-07	—	—	—	19.0	28/1·27.75	38·38.00 Smarkets · +37% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets38·38.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Matchbook20·20.007Bet18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00
8	Master Celeritas J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 8 · combo 3/71 (4%) 2yo · G · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	19.0	66/1·67.38	50/1·51.00 7Bet · -24% vs fair All 28 books ▾ 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 BresBet50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00Matchbook46·46.00Bet36540/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Exchange23·23.00
4	Game Character J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1 · combo 4/42 (10%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	17.0	28/1·30.39	44·44.00 Smarkets · +45% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets44·44.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00Matchbook36·36.00Betfair Exchange32·32.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00
7	Magwitch J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 14 · combo 4/61 (7%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	17.0	14/1·14.53	24·24.00 Betfair Exchange · +65% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange24·24.00Smarkets20·20.00Matchbook19.5·19.50SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–29 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)?

The British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 16:45 on 21 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:45 York?

7f, Class 2, Flat, 15 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:45 York?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:45 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Launch Sequence (score 62.8, best price 8.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:45 York?

The market favourite is Oklahoma at a best price of 2.88. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Launch Sequence.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org