17:40 Southwell (AW)

IFAHR Cup Handicap Stakes (0-95) - Arab Race

1m3f · Flat · Standard · 4 runners · £3,092 · Sunday, 16 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Mdawi (A)
Ray Dawson·P Collington
100/30·4.33
SP
2nd
Jeewan (A)
Ebrahim Nader·Barry Brennan·beaten 5 lengths
5/1·6.00
SP
3rd
Ashj'Aa (A)AI top pick · 41.0
Dougie Costello·P Collington·beaten 5 lengths
4/6F·1.67
SP

Race time

2m 34.82s

Race time recorded.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.67 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Ashj'Aa (A)

Dougie Costello · P Collington · 4yo

Top-rated of 4

score 41.0 · +5.4 clear of next best (35.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
41d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=4)
P Collington: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 1.93 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m3f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 1.05

Mid (3–3)

IV 1.08

High (4–4)

IV 0.88

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 208 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Mdawi (A) J: Ray Dawson · T: P Collington · draw 2 5yo · G · b	27211	9-02	—	—	—	35.6	100/30·4.33 SP
2	3	Jeewan (A) J: Ebrahim Nader · T: Barry Brennan · draw 4 10yo · G · bb	61553	8-12	—	—	—	18.2	5/1·6.00 SP
3	1	Ashj'Aa (A) J: Dougie Costello · T: P Collington · draw 3 4yo · C · bb	1	10-00	—	—	—	41.0	4/6F·1.67 SP
4	4	Mayfair (A) J: Isobelle Chalmers(7) · T: J M Morris · draw 1 7yo · M · bp	4454	8-04	—	—	—	24.6	17/2·9.50 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:40 Southwell (AW) on 16 August 2026?

Mdawi (A) won the 17:40 Southwell (AW) at SP 4.33. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by P Collington.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:40 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Ashj'Aa (A)) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 17:40 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Mdawi (A) (4.33), 2. Jeewan (A) (6.00), 3. Ashj'Aa (A) (1.67).

What was the winning time for the 17:40 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 34.82s.

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