14:45 Lingfield (AW)

Free Tips On Attheraces.com Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 8 runners · £7,020 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

One Number

No. 5 · score 56.9 · +21.9 clear of next best · best 10/11·1.92

Drawn 7, inside the favoured high third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Berkshire Regal

8.6·8.60 Smarkets · +23% vs fair (consensus 6.98)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way21.5/100 rating

Berkshire Regal

8.60Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

One Number

David Probert · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 8

score 56.9 · +21.9 clear of next best (35.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
67strong
OR 100 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
38below average
Last 6: 2-0-3-5
Trainer20% weight
30weak
Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 7/57 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketBest price 1.92 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(1)
5One Number
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(7)
1Berkshire Regal 2Blueabad 3Dust My Broom 4Minsmere 6Royal Acclamation 7Yellow Vision 8Appassionata

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.77

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.11

High (7–8)

IV 1.15

Today: One Number (draw 7) and Berkshire Regal (draw 8) get the bias; Blueabad (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	One NumberPick J: David Probert · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 2yo · C · bpFT POnly runner	2035	9-07	100	—	—	56.9	5/4·2.30	1.92·1.92 Betfair Exchange · -17% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1.92·1.92Matchbook1.92·1.92Betfair Sportsbook10/11·1.91Paddy Power10/11·1.91Smarkets1.91·1.91Bet36510/11·1.91 BetWright5/6·1.83 BetMGM5/6·1.83 7Bet5/6·1.83 BresBet5/6·1.83 Dragon Bet5/6·1.83 SmarketsSBK5/6·1.83 SportingIndex5/6·1.83 Unibet5/6·1.83 Spreadex5/6·1.83 BetTom4/5·1.80 LiveScore Bet4/5·1.80 10 Bet4/5·1.80 Bet Victor4/5·1.80 Betano4/5·1.80 Betfred4/5·1.80 Boyle Sports4/5·1.80 Midnite4/5·1.80 Quinn Bet4/5·1.80 talkSPORT BET4/5·1.80 Star Sports4/5·1.80Virgin Bet4/5·1.80Ladbrokes8/11·1.73 Coral8/11·1.73 William Hill8/11·1.73
6	Royal Acclamation J: Connor Planas · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 6 · combo 4/19 (21%) 2yo · C · bOnly rideOnly runner	—	9-07	—	—	—	35.0	11/4·3.81	3.6·3.60 Smarkets · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Smarkets3.6·3.60Betfair Exchange3.55·3.55Matchbook3.5·3.50SmarketsSBK5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 Unibet9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 BetMGM2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Midnite2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00Paddy Power2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00 Spreadex2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.0010 Bet2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 7Bet19/10·2.90 Betano15/8·2.88 talkSPORT BET15/8·2.88 Bet Victor15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.87 BresBet15/8·2.87 Boyle Sports6/4·2.50
2	Blueabad J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Boughey · draw 2 · combo 2/10 (20%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	24.0	12/1·13.96	16.5·16.50 Matchbook · +18% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Smarkets16.5·16.50SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Betfair Exchange15·15.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Quinn Bet9/1·10.00
8	Appassionata J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 1 2yo · F · bOnly runner	—	9-02	—	—	—	24.0	40/1·43.16	50·50.00 Matchbook · +16% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook50·50.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00Smarkets46·46.00Betfair Exchange38·38.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Betano33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00
1	Berkshire Regal J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8 · combo 4/46 (9%) 2yo · C · bOnly runner	—	9-07	—	—	—	21.5	6/1·6.98	8.6·8.60 Smarkets · +23% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Smarkets8.6·8.60Matchbook8.4·8.40Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 10 Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 BresBet9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00
3	Dust My Broom J: Paddy Bradley · T: Michael Attwater · draw 4 2yo · C · bOnly runner	—	9-07	—	—	—	18.5	150/1·128.20	210·210.00 Matchbook · +64% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook210·210.00Bet365150/1·151.00 Coral125/1·126.00 William Hill125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00 Boyle Sports125/1·126.00 BetTom125/1·126.00Betfair Sportsbook125/1·126.00Paddy Power125/1·126.00 Ladbrokes125/1·126.00 Midnite125/1·126.00Smarkets110·110.00Betano100/1·101.00 BresBet100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 talkSPORT BET100/1·101.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 7Bet100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00Virgin Bet100/1·101.00BetMGM100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 LiveScore Bet100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK100/1·101.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange38·38.00
4	Minsmere J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 · combo 12/72 (17%) 2yo · C · bOnly runner	—	9-07	—	—	—	18.0	33/1·33.00	48·48.00 Matchbook · +45% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00Smarkets40·40.00Betfair Exchange38·38.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.007Bet25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00
7	Yellow Vision J: Taylor Fisher · T: William Knight · draw 3 · combo 3/20 (15%) 2yo · C · ch	—	9-07	—	—	—	15.0	33/1·36.81	100·100.00 Matchbook · +172% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook100·100.00Smarkets95·95.00SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange32·32.00 Paddy Power30/1·31.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 Coral28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 BresBet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Free Tips On Attheraces.com Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)?

The Free Tips On Attheraces.com Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) is off at 14:45 on 20 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:45 Lingfield (AW)?

1m, Class 3, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:45 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:45 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is One Number (score 56.9, best price 1.92). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:45 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is One Number at a best price of 1.92.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org